Match Info

MLS

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego, CA)

Referee: Dujic F. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	San Diego		Los Angeles

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.7	2.5	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.55
	2.48	3.95	2.58	Watch
	2.6	3.86	2.64
	2.47	3.99	2.52	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.45
	2.55	3.89	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.52)	3.8 ↑ (3.52)	2.55 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego
37.9%

Draw
24.9%

Los Angeles
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.4%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for San Diego aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

San Diego - Los Angeles Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. dos Santos C. J. (G) 33. Verhoeven O. 97. McVey C. 26. Duah M. 27. Bombino L. 19. Vazquez D. 20. Godoy A. (C) 8. Valakari O. 10. Dreyer A. 7. Ingvartsen M. 90. Pellegrino A.	1. Lloris H. (G) 45. Nielsen K. 91. Nkosi Tafari 4. Segura E. 21. Raposo R. 46. Eustaquio S. 22. Terry J. 24. Hollingshead R. 27. Ordaz N. 99. Bouanga D. 17. Ebobisse J.
Substitutes
70. Alvarado Jr A. 21. Duke B. 22. Eisner W. 18. Ferree D. (G) 77. Mighten A. 9. Morgan L. 25. Pilcher I. 15. Soma P. 14. Zamble B. B.	19. Boyd T. 66. Choiniere M. 8. Delgado M. 12. Hasal T. (G) 30. Martinez D. 14. Palencia S. 5. Porteous R. 29. Smolyakov A. 7. Son Heung-Min
Coaches
Varas M.	Dos Santos M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Ingvartsen M. ⚽, Dreyer A. (A),
15', Vazquez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Terry J. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
46', Ordaz N. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
59', Nielsen K. 🟨,
60', Raposo R. ↓, Son Heung-Min ↑,
67', Pellegrino A. ↓, Morgan L. ↑,
67', Bombino L. ↓, Pilcher I. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Ingvartsen M. ⚽, Dreyer A. (A),
73', Ebobisse J. ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
73', Pilcher I. 🟨,
78', Godoy A. 🟨,
79', Eustaquio S. ↓, Choiniere M. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Bouanga D. ⚽, Son Heung-Min (A),
83', Vazquez D. ↓, Alvarado Jr A. ↑,
89', Ingvartsen M. ↓, Eisner W. ↑,
90', Bouanga D. 🟨,
90+8', dos Santos C. J. ↓, Ferree D. ↑,
90+9', Nielsen K. ↓, Smolyakov A. ↑,
90+14', 2 - 2, Hollingshead R. ⚽, Choiniere M. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

San Diego is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Los Angeles has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Los Angeles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in San Diego: Bombino L. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury) Sisniega P. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Los Angeles: Boudri A. (Leg Injury) Dellavalle L. (Knee Injury) Igor Jesus (Knee Injury)

We predict that Los Angeles will win today's game, with odds of 2.59.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, San Diego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Los Angeles - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.8%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego FC
MLS
25.04.26	San Diego - Portland Timbers	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Houston Dynamo - San Diego	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Real Salt Lake - San Diego	4:2 ✺
11.04.26	San Diego - Minnesota United	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Los Angeles FC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
29.04.26	Los Angeles - Toluca	2:1 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Minnesota United - Los Angeles	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Los Angeles - Colorado Rapids	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes	1:4 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
14.04.26	Cruz Azul - Los Angeles	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
31.08.25	Los Angeles - San Diego	1:2
29.03.25	San Diego - Los Angeles	3:2

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