Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Birmingham Legion		Sacramento Republic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.15
	2.38	3.3	2.92
				Watch
	3	3.1	2.2
	2.32	3.3	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.34)	3.24 ↓ (3.52)	2.57 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
35.2%

Draw
28.7%

Sacramento Republic
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

25.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Van Oekel M. (G) 2. Turnbull S. 13. Rufe J. 3. Kavita P. 20. Paterson AJ 33. Mensah M. 15. Pasher T. 8. Hernandez-Foster K. 17. Laszo E. 7. Trejo D. 9. Damus R.	1. Vitiello D. (G) 55. Ukaegbu C. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. 2. Gurr J. 20. Willey B. 22. Benitez M. 3. Spaulding R. 17. Wanner D. 11. Cicerone R. 19. Ross N.
Substitutes
27. Centeno E. 57. Delgado F. (G) 19. Martinez E. 6. McIllhatton S. 10. Preston T. 43. Suarez S. 21. Tregarthen S.	7. Amann T. 21. Djedje R. 23. Edwards A. 6. Kleemann F. 8. Lopez R. 96. Luis Felipe 99. Mazzola J. (G) 10. Parano C. 43. Portillo J. J.
Coaches
Briggs M.	Collins N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Mensah M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mensah M. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
65', Cicerone R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
65', Wanner D. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
72', Willey B. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
73', Benitez M. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
76', Paterson AJ ↓, Suarez S. ↑,
76', Trejo D. ↓, Centeno E. ↑,
76', Damus R. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
84', Laszo E. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
89', Spaulding R. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
90', Edwards A. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 0, Tregarthen S. ⚽, Pasher T. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of home games.

Sacramento Republic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
14.06.25	Louisville City - Birmingham Legion	4:2 ✺
04.06.25	Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Tulsa - Birmingham Legion	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
24.05.25	Miami - Birmingham Legion	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Birmingham Legion - Detroit City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWT
- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
14.06.25	Sacramento Republic - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Sacramento Republic - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights	4:0 ✺
USL Championship
17.05.25	Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights	5:0 ✺
10.05.25	Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
25.05.24	Sacramento Republic - Birmingham Legion	0:0
12.08.23	Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic	1:1
16.07.22	Sacramento Republic - Birmingham Legion	0:1

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