Match Info

Date: 22 August 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	San Diego Loyal		Reno

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.4	2.1	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.15
	2.95	3.35	2.11
	3.05	3.55	2.23
	2.96	3.52	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (2.99)	3.4 ↑ (3.39)	2.15 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Loyal
30.7%

Draw
26.8%

Reno
42.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.4%

26.8%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

19.4%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Reno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Diego Loyal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reno than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Diego Loyal - Reno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

San Diego Loyal has a very small chance of playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

San Diego Loyal is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Reno is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Reno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of home games.

Reno will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
15.08.20	Phoenix Rising - San Diego Loyal	2:0 ✺
12.08.20	San Diego Loyal - Orange County SC	0:2 ✺
01.08.20	San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic	0:0 ✺
25.07.20	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	2:1 ✺
19.07.20	San Diego Loyal - LA Galaxy II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL
- FC Reno
USL Championship
15.08.20	Reno - Portland Timbers 2	5:2 ✺
12.08.20	Reno - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
08.08.20	Reno - Tacoma Defiance	2:1 ✺
01.08.20	Las Vegas Lights - Reno	0:1 ✺
29.07.20	Portland Timbers 2 - Reno	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW

San Diego Loyal - Reno

Match Info

Current Win Probability

San Diego Loyal - Reno Predictions

Preview

Form

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