Match Info

Date: 20 November 2020, Friday


	San Lorenzo		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.87
	3.85	3.4	1.84
	3.6	3.45	1.91
	4	3.62	1.97
	4.2	3.6	1.78	Watch
	3.65	3.7	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (4.93)	3.52 ↓ (3.62)	1.87 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
23.9%

Draw
26.4%

Libertad Asuncion
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

25.8%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

15.5%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libertad Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Libertad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Libertad is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 7-23.

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.11.20	Aldosivi - San Lorenzo	1:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.11.20	San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.11.20	San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.11.20	12 de Octubre - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLWW
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.11.20	Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
10.11.20	Club General Díaz - Libertad Asuncion	3:4 ✺
07.11.20	Libertad Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	3:1 ✺
31.10.20	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Libertad Asuncion - Sol de América	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
26.09.20	Libertad Asuncion - San Lorenzo	3:0
25.07.20	San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	1:2
29.09.19	Libertad Asuncion - San Lorenzo	3:0
14.07.19	San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	0:1
05.05.19	San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	3:4
03.03.19	Libertad Asuncion - San Lorenzo	2:1
05.12.15	Libertad Asuncion - San Lorenzo	1:1

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