Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 8 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Haro D. (Per)


	San Lorenzo		Palestino

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	7	Watch
	1.55	3.7	6.5
	1.53	3.9	6.5
	1.56	3.91	6.6
	1.5	3.6	6.5
	1.53	3.94	6.5	Watch
	1.51	3.85	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	3.81 ↑ (3.68)	6.54 ↑ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
61.1%

Draw
24.6%

Palestino
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

25.3%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

27.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Palestino aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

San Lorenzo - Palestino Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Palestino will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Perez R. 6. Gattoni F. 23. Hernandez G. 47. Giay A. 5. Elias J. 8. Maroni G. 21. Braida M. 18. Vombergar A. 10. Barrios N. 9. Blandi N.	1. Rigamonti C. (G) 3. Rojas B. 2. Meza F. 13. Suarez C. 5. Farias A. (C) 8. Cornejo F. 7. Carrasco B. 10. Davila Carvajal M. 19. Vejar B. 9. Salas M. 14. Barticciotto B.
Substitutes
1. Altamirano F. (G) 11. Bareiro A. 22. Campi G. 7. Cerutti E. 55. Goyeneche J. 19. Insaurralde M. 41. Leguizamon I. 35. Lujan G. 20. Martegani A. 50. Perruzzi F. 3. Sanchez C. 46. Silva T.	27. Araya M. 11. Benitez J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 18. Collao G. (G) 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 6. Meza N. 21. Riquelme A. 17. Roman I. 28. Zuniga D.
Coaches
Insua R.	Sanchez P.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Palestino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Lorenzo is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.06.23	San Lorenzo - Colón	0:0 ✺
28.05.23	Barracas Central - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.05.23	Fortaleza - San Lorenzo	3:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.05.23	San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Banfield - San Lorenzo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLWW
- CD Palestino Santiago
Copa Sudamericana
25.05.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Palestino	1:5 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
19.05.23	Palestino - OHiggins	0:1 ✺
14.05.23	Curicó Unido - Palestino	0:1 ✺
11.05.23	Everton de Viña - Palestino	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.05.23	Palestino - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
03.05.23	Palestino - San Lorenzo	0:0
27.10.16	Palestino - San Lorenzo	1:0
20.10.16	San Lorenzo - Palestino	2:0

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