Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	San Lorenzo		Sarmiento de Junín

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.3	7	Watch
	1.62	3.4	6.3	Watch
	1.65	3.39	6.83
	1.85	3.11	5.13	Watch
	1.65	3.34	6.15	Watch
	1.85	2.95	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)	3.25 ↑ (2.95)	6.1 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
55.4%

Draw
29.1%

Sarmiento de Junín
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

31.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

30.5%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions

Users Predictions: San Lorenzo will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Lorenzo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Altamirano F. (G) 32. Herrera E. 36. Herrera D. 23. Hernandez G. (C) 37. Baez E. 28. Cuello A. 24. Tripichio N. 7. Cerutti E. 45. Gulli F. 50. Ladstatter A. 21. Perruzzi F.	42. Acosta L. (G) 21. Vigo A. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 39. Godoy J. 15. Suhr L. 29. Gomez J. 5. Garcia M. 30. Renteria J. 18. Morales I. 20. Frias F.
Substitutes
15. Cecchini E. 1. Clemente M. (G) 35. Cordoba A. 5. Dominguez N. 18. Herazo D. 44. Hernandez M. 34. Lopez F. 40. Rattalino J. 11. Reali M. 33. Rodriguez Pagano T. 22. Salinardi Branco 9. Vombergar A.	9. Ardaiz J. 26. Arismendi Y. 1. Ayala T. (G) 32. Devecchi J. (G) 23. Gimenez E. 40. Marquez B. 10. Paradela F. 12. Pratto L. 11. Rodriguez S. 34. Seyral A. 17. Vallejos J. 25. Villalba C.
Coaches
Ayude D.	Sava F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Tripichio N. ⚽,
23', Garcia M. 🟨,
28', Vigo A. 🟨,
32', Gomez J. 🟨,
34', Herrera D. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
42', Godoy J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gomez J. ↓, Villalba C. ↑,
46', Godoy J. ↓, Arismendi Y. ↑,
46', Frias F. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
61', Suhr L. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
61', Ladstatter A. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
61', Tripichio N. ↓, Rattalino J. ↑,
65', Cuello A. 🟨,
71', Cerutti E. 🟨,
74', Orihuela R. 🟨,
75', Cerutti E. ↓, Salinardi Branco ↑,
75', Gulli F. ↓, Cecchini E. ↑,
80', Reali M. 🟨,
87', Renteria J. ↓, Marquez B. ↑,
90', Villalba C. 🟨,
90+2', Hernandez G. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Villalba C. ⚽,
90+5', Salinardi Branco 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Lorenzo is a strong favorite.

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury) Cordoba A. (Inactive) Insaurralde M. (Elbow Injury) Vombergar A. (Illness)

There will not play in Sarmiento: Contrera J. (Yellow Cards) Magnin P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in San Lorenzo: Romana J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Vigo A. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.11.25	Rosario Central - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	San Lorenzo - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
20.10.25	Atlético Tucumán - San Lorenzo	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Lanús - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWLL
- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.11.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Platense - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.25	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	1:1
03.06.24	San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.03.24	San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0
30.10.23	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.02.23	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	0:1
17.10.22	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	2:4
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.04.22	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	2:1

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