The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Concepción 40.8%
Draw 29.6%
San Marcos de Arica 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
29.2%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
28.7%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
37.5%
12.5%
Universidad de Concepción - San Marcos de Arica Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Concepción (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Uni de Concepción (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - San Marcos de Arica (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Concepción (votes: 3 - 75%). San Marcos de Arica (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sanhueza J. (G) 30. Saez B. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 18. Ubal B. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 16. Ogaz B. 22. Rojas L. 10. Fuentealba J. 25. Salgado H. 9. Levato M. 28. Herrera I.
1. Temperini N. (G) 15. Cubillos G. 5. Rivera J. 4. Caceres C. 3. Muller I. 8. Barrios A. (C) 40. Fernandez R. 26. Rencoret C. 10. Velazco F. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 24. Pereira D.
Substitutes
1. Espinoza B. (G) 14. Medina C. 3. Meza I. 7. Molina S. 5. Mussis F. 19. Olivares Alvarez R. I. 8. Romo J.
20. Abalos A. 21. Camarda M. 16. Farias E. 32. Gauna N. A. 37. Moya M. 35. Plaza D. 22. Tapia B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Saez B. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Rojas L. ⚽,
41', Rojas L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Velazco F. ↓, Gauna N. A. ↑,
46', Pereira D. ↓, Camarda M. ↑,
56', Levato M. 🟨,
60', Rojas L. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
64', Fernandez R. ↓, Plaza D. ↑,
66', Saez B. ↓, Meza I. ↑,
66', Herrera I. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Ubal B. ⚽,
72', Muller I. ↓, Abalos A. ↑,
80', Barrios A. 🟨,
82', 3 - 1, Camarda M. ⚽,
84', Fernandez R. 🟨,
85', Fuentealba J. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
85', Salgado H. ↓, Olivares Alvarez R. I. ↑,
90+2', Barrios A. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 1, Olivares Alvarez R. I. ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 1.
Recent performances by Uni de Concepción have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Marcos de Arica is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.2:1.6).
Watch
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Sanhueza J. (G) 
Levato M. 
Espinoza B. (G) 
Camarda M. 
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