Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 9

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez (San Juan)

Referee: Macheroni M. (Arg)


	San Martín de San Juan		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	5.25
	1.75	3.2	4.6
	1.8	3.25	4.5
	1.79	3.22	5.6
	1.81	3.06	5.68
	1.75	3.25	4.75
	1.78	3.26	4.76
	1.78	3.2	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	3.21 ↑ (3.11)	4.99 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de San Juan
52.3%

Draw
29.1%

Estudiantes de Caseros
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

29.6%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

30.2%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

San Martín de San Juan - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borgogno M. (G) 4. Gomez J. 2. Caseres R. 6. Marchio J. 3. Alvarez L. 8. Lopez S. 5. Pelaitay N. 7. Casa M. 10. Gonzalez S. 9. Gonzalez F. 11. Montagna E.	1. Budino M. (G) 2. Perales V. 6. Ledesma D. 3. Fernandez N. 4. Del Col M. 8. Miranda F. 5. Lugo M. 10. Acosta E. 11. Contreras E. 7. Fagundez F. 9. Beron J.
Substitutes
12. Bonansea F. (G) 17. Escalante L. T. 13. Franco N. 20. Gonzalez K. 18. Gutierrez M. 16. Molina A. 15. Olguin G. 14. Sienra A. 19. Zacaria J.	12. Amade L. (G) 16. Bacas T. 15. Brinone S. 20. Gorla F. J. 13. Lorenzon F. 18. Luna E. 19. Soto L. 14. Valenzuela I. 17. Vallejos I.
Coaches
Martinez J. M.	Otta W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Ledesma D. 🟨,
16', Pelaitay N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Montagna E. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
62', Beron J. ↓, Luna E. ↑,
68', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
68', 🟨,
70', Gonzalez F. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
70', Gonzalez S. ↓, Zacaria J. ↑,
74', Contreras E. ↓, Soto L. ↑,
74', Lugo M. ↓, Brinone S. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

CA Estudiantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Martín is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Martín won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de San Juan
Copa Argentina
25.03.24	Godoy Cruz - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.03.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
15.03.24	San Martín de San Juan - Quilmes	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	San Miguel - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	San Martín de San Juan - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLTW
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.03.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
23.02.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.09.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Martín de San Juan	1:0
21.01.21	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Martín de San Juan	3:1
15.02.20	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Martín de San Juan	5:3
24.08.19	San Martín de San Juan - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1
Copa Argentina
11.06.15	San Martín de San Juan - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 penalties

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