Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 22

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Acita F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Usa	FuboTV
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	San Miguel		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.6
	2.2	2.85	3.4
	2.2	2.9	3.6	Watch
	2.27	2.85	3.86
	2.23	2.81	3.83	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.5
	2.17	2.93	3.61
	2.21	2.9	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.4)	2.88 ↑ (2.77)	3.62 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Miguel
42%

Draw
32.3%

Chacarita Juniors
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

33.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

33.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

San Miguel - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Chacarita will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chacarita: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pucheta J. (G) 4. Antunes I. 2. Kippes A. 6. Postel S. 3. Grance P. 8. Rojas M. 5. Cravero T. 7. Ferrero J. 10. Lujan N. 9. Villegas L. 11. Batallini M.	1. Losas F. (G) 2. Oneto T. 3. Laurelli F. 6. Gonzalez C. 4. Melendez M. 5. Watson N. 10. Pisano M. 8. Vera M. 7. Rodriguez Matias (C) 11. Quiroz M. 9. Cocimano S.
Substitutes
16. Battigelli A. 18. Benitez M. 14. Escobar I. 20. Muller D. 12. Perrone F. (G) 15. Sena F. 19. Sosa D.	13. Cardozo I. 19. Chocobar V. 17. Domke 15. Fernandez T. 18. Figueroa V. 16. Nicastro A. 14. Perdomo L. 20. Rivero H. 12. Rolon B. (G)
Coaches
Coleoni G.	Biggeri A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Postel S. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Postel S. ⚽,
17', Cravero T. 🟨,
38', Pucheta J. (Pen),
41', Kippes A. 🟥,
44', Vera M. ↓, Rivero H. ↑,
45', Watson N. 🟨,
45+1', Batallini M. ↓, Cazula A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Cocimano S. ⚽,
54', Quiroz M. 🟨,
54', Cazula A. 🟨,
55', Villegas L. 🟨,
64', Quiroz M. ↓, Figueroa V. ↑,
71', Rojas M. ↓, Sena F. ↑,
71', Lujan N. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
82', Laurelli F. ↓, Nicastro A. ↑,
86', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
86', Ferrero J. 🟨,
90+3', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
90+7', Villegas L. ↓, Battigelli A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches San Miguel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chacarita is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Miguel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Miguel will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Miguel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.06.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	San Miguel - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:0 ✺
08.06.24	San Miguel - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Deportivo Morón - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Miguel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTWWL
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.06.24	Chacarita Juniors - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors	0:2 ✺
12.06.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
07.06.24	San Lorenzo - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.06.24	Chacarita Juniors - Güemes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.02.24	Chacarita Juniors - San Miguel	1:1

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