Match Info

J1 League - Round 13

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Hiroshima Big Arch (Hiroshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5.25
	1.63	3.56	5.32	Watch
	1.71	3.69	5.82
	1.67	3.61	5.7	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.5
	1.68	3.67	5.59	Watch
	1.64	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.6)	3.62 ↓ (3.83)	5.48 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
56.8%

Draw
26.1%

Albirex Niigata
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

24.5%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

22.5%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Albirex Niigata (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 50%). Albirex Niigata (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. 39. Nakamura S. 14. Tanaka S. 20. Inoue S. 18. Suga D. 6. Kawabe H. 51. Kato M. 9. Germain R.	23. Yoshimitsu D. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 3. Inamura H. 42. Hashimoto K. 16. Komi Y. 22. Arai T. 19. Hoshi Y. 30. Okumura J. 99. Ono Y. 46. Kasai K.
Substitutes
25. Chajima Y. 24. Higashi S. 27. Iyoha O. 26. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 32. Koshimichi S. 41. Maeda N. 5. Matsumoto H. 44. Semba T. 3. Yamasaki T.	6. Akiyama H. 11. Danilo Gomes 1. Fujita K. (G) 2. Geria J. 41. Hasegawa M. 15. Hayakawa F. 31. Horigome Y. 20. Miguel 33. Takagi Y.
Coaches
Skibbe M.	Kimori D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Fitzgerald M. ↓, Geria J. ↑,
64', Inoue S. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
74', Ono Y. ↓, Hasegawa M. ↑,
74', Komi Y. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
74', Suga D. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
74', Kato M. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
81', Arai T. ↓, Akiyama H. ↑,
81', Kasai K. ↓, Miguel ↑,
84', Germain R. ↓, Chajima Y. ↑,
84', Kawabe H. ↓, Matsumoto H. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Miguel ⚽, Hasegawa M. (A),
90', Miguel 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hiroshima won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hiroshima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hiroshima is a favorite.

There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Kawanami G. (Hand Injury) Nakajima Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Niigata: Ota S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Hiroshima: Germain V. (Injury) Shiotani T. (Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Hiroshima won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:11 (average 1.2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Hiroshima won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.5:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.67%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
25.04.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League
26.04.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Albirex Niigata - Yokohama FC	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.04.25	Vissel Kobe - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
26.06.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata	1:1
03.05.24	Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1
01.07.23	Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:0
26.02.23	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata	1:2
09.09.17	Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:0
Japan J League Cup
12.04.17	Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1
Japan J1 League
25.02.17	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata	1:1

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