The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kashiwa Reysol 42.4%
Draw 29.9%
Albirex Niigata 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
29.7%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
29.4%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Albirex Niigata aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
21.4%
21.4%
Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2% – 83%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Kashiwa (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kashiwa Reysol will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Kojima R. (G) 31. Naruse S. 4. Koga T. 5. Tanaka H. 24. Kubo T. 27. Kumasaka K. 6. Yamada Y. 14. Koyamatsu T. 8. Koizumi Y. 11. Watai M. 18. Kakita Y.
23. Yoshimitsu D. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 2. Geria J. 3. Inamura H. 31. Horigome Y. 16. Komi Y. 6. Akiyama H. 19. Hoshi Y. 30. Okumura J. 33. Takagi Y. 41. Hasegawa M.
Substitutes
3. Diego 9. Hosoya M. 13. Inukai T. 15. Kinoshita K. 39. Nakagawa N. 37. Nakajima S. 19. Nakama H. 1. Saruta H. (G) 33. Shirai E.
22. Arai T. 11. Danilo Gomes 5. Fitzgerald M. 1. Fujita K. (G) 42. Hashimoto K. 15. Hayakawa F. 46. Kasai K. 20. Miguel 99. Ono Y.
Coaches
Rodriguez R.
Kimori D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Naruse S. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Komi Y. (Pen),
32', 1 - 1, Watai M. ⚽, Yamada Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
71', Okumura J. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
72', Takagi Y. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
74', Yamada Y. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
87', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
87', Watai M. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
87', Kubo T. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
90+1', Hasegawa M. ↓, Miguel ↑,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 1.
Kashiwa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Niigata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Kashiwa have a series of guest games.
Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harada W.
(Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 6 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.2:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.1:0.9).