Match Info

Serie C - Second stage - Round 1

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio José do Rego Maciel (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Santa Cruz Recife		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.80	2.80
	2.42	2.75	2.9	Watch
	2.61	2.67	3.15
	2.61	2.7	3.16
	2.55	2.45	3.05
	2.54	2.59	3.12	Watch
	2.41	2.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (1.94)	2.68 ↓ (3.25)	3.01 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
36.1%

Draw
33.8%

Botafogo PB
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

28.5%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Cruz Recife's form might have worsened.

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Santa Cruz Recife - Botafogo PB Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo PB (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Coelho (G) 28. Eron 3. Eurico 37. Everaldo 13. Matheus Vinicius 5. Pedro Favela 19. Renato 17. Ronald 26. Silva 2. Thiago Ennes 4. William Alves	27. Luiz Daniel (G) 77. Bastos R. 2. Diogo Mateus 7. Dudu Hatamoto 9. Henrique Dourado 14. Igor Morais 5. Jhonata Varela 28. Lucas Candido 10. Nene (C) 6. Patric Calmon 3. Yan Souto
Substitutes
6. Alex Ruan 29. Alex Sandro 15. Andrey 8. Arilson 27. Edson Miranda 7. Fabinho 32. Joao Pedro 20. Patrick Allan 12. Rokenedy (G) 18. Willian Junior	16. Bull 25. Caio Garcia 11. Diego Tavares 18. Giovanni 31. Gustavo 17. Jonas Toro 15. Kayon 21. Leandro Mathias (G) 22. Leo Pereira 35. Octavio 4. Saimon 20. Thallyson
Coaches
Cristian Souza	Fernandes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Eron ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Henrique Dourado 🟨,
55', Lucas Candido ↓, Thallyson ↑,
55', Henrique Dourado ↓, Kayon ↑,
69', Eron ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
69', Everaldo ↓, Willian Junior ↑,
71', Ronald ↓, Cassiano ↑,
73', Dudu Hatamoto ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
81', Renato ↓, Alex Ruan ↑,
81', Silva ↓, Arilson ↑,
82', Bastos R. ↓, Jonas Toro ↑,
82', Jhonata Varela ↓, Giovanni ↑,
86', Igor Morais 🟥,
87', Cassiano 🟨,
90+7', Arilson 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 1.

Santa Cruz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Botafogo PB is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Santa Cruz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Cruz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Santa Cruz: 41.91%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
29.08.26	Anápolis - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Caxias	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Maranhão	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Botafogo PB - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLTL
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
29.08.26	Itabaiana - Botafogo PB	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Botafogo PB - Guarani	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Amazonas - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Botafogo PB - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Caxias - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
08.08.26	Botafogo PB - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Botafogo PB	2:1
Brazilian Serie C
25.09.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Botafogo PB	1:1
24.07.21	Botafogo PB - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
10.04.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Botafogo PB	0:1
Brazilian Serie C
25.10.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Botafogo PB	1:0
23.08.20	Botafogo PB - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2

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