Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 17

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio José do Rego Maciel (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Santa Cruz Recife		Maranhão

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.20	4.20
	1.80	3.40	4.35	Watch
	1.74	3.20	5.16
	2.2	2.97	3.59
	1.88	2.65	4.00
	1.77	3.33	4.93	Watch
	1.73	3.00	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.86)	3.11 ↓ (3.3)	4.42 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
49.8%

Draw
29.4%

Maranhão
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

28.1%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

27.7%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Santa Cruz Recife have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Santa Cruz Recife - Maranhão Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Coelho (G) 6. Alex Ruan 27. Edson Miranda 28. Eron 3. Eurico (C) 37. Everaldo 13. Matheus Vinicius 5. Pedro Favela 17. Ronald 26. Silva 18. Vitinho	1. Jean (G) 16. Andre Radija (C) 29. Felipe Cruz 10. Jorge Rocha 13. Lucao 26. Luis Gustavo 15. Rosivan 14. Tiburcio 20. Vagalume 8. Vander 17. Will
Substitutes
9. Alex Sandro 29. Arilson 10. Cassiano 7. Fabinho 30. Jefferson Bahia 22. Jhoninha 20. Patrick Allan 12. Rokenedy (G) 2. Thiago Ennes 23. Tiago Marques 4. William Alves 31. Ze Mario	3. Edson Fernando 9. Erverson 4. Iran 6. Lucas Santos 25. Mauricio 27. Peu C. 19. Rafael Teixeira 21. Richarles 22. Ronald Makalysten 12. Vitao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Vitinho 🟨,
22', Everaldo 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Felipe Cruz ⚽,
37', Vander 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alex Ruan ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
46', Vitinho ↓, Cassiano ↑,
46', Edson Miranda 🟨,
54', Jean 🟨,
61', Edson Miranda ↓, Patrick Allan ↑,
64', Luis Gustavo ↓, Richarles ↑,
67', Eron ↓, Tiago Marques ↑,
72', Jorge Rocha ↓, Rafael Teixeira ↑,
72', Will ↓, Mauricio ↑,
77', Everaldo ↓, Jhoninha ↑,
77', Pedro Favela 🟨,
80', Felipe Cruz ↓, Erverson ↑,
81', Rafael Teixeira 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).

Santa Cruz is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maranhão has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Santa Cruz is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Santa Cruz: 41.91%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
08.08.26	Botafogo PB - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Ituano	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Paysandu - Santa Cruz Recife	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TLWWW
- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie C
09.08.26	Maranhão - Brusque	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Ferroviária - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Maranhão - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Maranhão - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Ituano - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
20.09.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Maranhão	0:0
14.09.25	Maranhão - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1

Upcoming Matches