Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 19

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	Premiere
Colombia	Win Sports
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Chapecoense		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.75	1.35	Watch
	7.50	4.60	1.43
	7.9	4.45	1.39	Watch
	9.6	5.03	1.38
	8.69	4.82	1.38
	9.1	4.95	1.36
	9.14	4.85	1.4	Watch
	8.2	4.9	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.58 ↑ (6.74)	4.79 ↑ (4.39)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
11.1%

Draw
19.9%

Flamengo
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

21.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

20.9%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Chapecoense - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Matheus Aurelio (G) 26. Everton 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 3. Eduardo Doma 91. Bruno Pacheco 19. David Antunes 27. Camilo Reijers 17. Vinicius Balieiro 10. Giovanni Augusto 7. Marcinho 11. Bolasie Y.	1. Rossi A. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 44. Vitao 4. Leo Pereira 6. Ayrton Lucas 5. Pulgar E. 21. Jorginho 19. Plata G. 16. Samuel Lino 27. Bruno Henrique (C) 9. Pedro
Substitutes
33. Bruno Leonardo 16. Bruno Matias 97. Enio 66. Juan Ferreira 50. Kassio 21. Kauan 6. Mancha 2. Marcos Vinicius 18. Neto Pessoa 1. Rafael Santos (G) 70. Rubens Ricoldi 32. Wellington (G)	26. Alex Sandro 13. Danilo 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 10. de Arrascaeta G. 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 11. Everton 52. Evertton Araujo 61. Joao Souza 99. Lorran 8. Niguez S. 2. Varela G. 64. Wallace Yan
Coaches
Rafael Lacerda	Jardim L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Pedro ⚽, Bruno Henrique (A),
33', Plata G. ↓, Lorran ↑,
38', 0 - 2, Rafael Thyere (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 3, Lorran ⚽,
53', Bruno Pacheco 🟨,
59', David Antunes ↓, Enio ↑,
60', Vinicius Balieiro ↓, Bruno Matias ↑,
68', Bruno Henrique ↓, de Arrascaeta G. ↑,
68', Ayrton Lucas ↓, Alex Sandro ↑,
69', Jorginho ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
69', Bolasie Y. ↓, Kassio ↑,
70', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
80', Leo Pereira ↓, Danilo ↑,
81', Marcinho ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Pedro ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 0.

Recent performances by Chapecoense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Flamengo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chapecoense has had a series of away games.

Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Flamengo is the clear favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:33. (average 0.8:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Flamengo RJ: 59.97%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	29	18	7	4	57:25	32	61
20	Chapecoense-SC	28	3	9	16	29:57	-28	18

Last Results with these Odds

Flamengo - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 64.37%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
17.07.26	Bahia - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Grêmio - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
07.06.26	Chapecoense - Avaí	3:1 penalties ✺
03.06.26	Avaí - Chapecoense	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
31.05.26	Palmeiras - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWLL
- Flamengo RJ
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Flamengo - Olimpia Asuncion	4:2 ✺
11.07.26	Benfica - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Flamengo - Lausanne-Sport	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	Flamengo - River Plate	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.05.26	Flamengo - Coritiba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
08.11.21	Chapecoense - Flamengo	2:2
11.07.21	Flamengo - Chapecoense	2:1
06.10.19	Chapecoense - Flamengo	0:1
12.05.19	Flamengo - Chapecoense	2:1
08.09.18	Flamengo - Chapecoense	2:0
13.05.18	Chapecoense - Flamengo	3:2
15.10.17	Chapecoense - Flamengo	0:1

Upcoming Matches