Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Corona (Torreón)

Referee: Quintero D. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Santos Laguna		Club León

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.68	3.7	2.32
	2.81	3.89	2.38
	2.67	3.42	2.52	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.81)	3.64 ↑ (3.63)	2.39 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos Laguna
34.8%

Draw
25.8%

Club León
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

25.8%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

24.5%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Santos Laguna - Club León Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo C. (G) 4. Abella J. (C) 35. Balanta K. 19. Ortega H. 2. Amione B. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 26. Sordo R. 21. Villalba F. 6. Guemez J. 20. Palacios K. 99. Barticciotto B.	12. Jimenez O. (G) 7. Moreno I. 21. Barreiro S. 4. Fonseca N. 26. Reyes S. 20. Echeverria R. 6. Beltran Cruz F. 28. Ramirez D. 10. Rodriguez J. (C) 29. Alvarado A. 18. Funes Mori R.
Substitutes
9. Carrillo J. 7. Dajome C. 17. Echeverria E. 23. Gutierrez E. 33. Holguin H. (G) 5. Lopez A. 11. Lozano C. 24. Medina D. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 188. Perez J.	14. Ayon E. 25. Bellon P. 1. Blanco A. (G) 24. Cisneros C. 16. Cortizo J. 27. Estrada A. 2. Gauthier V. 19. Rodriguez E. 31. Santos S. 15. Villa O.
Coaches
Rodriguez F.	Ambriz I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Guemez J. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Amione B. ⚽, Abella J. (A),
35', Reyes S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barticciotto B. ↓, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↑,
57', Villalba F. 🟨,
58', Ramirez D. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Amione B. ⚽, Abella J. (A),
68', Sordo R. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
68', Villalba F. ↓, Dajome C. ↑,
69', Ramirez D. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
69', Alvarado A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
79', Palacios K. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
82', Fonseca N. ↓, Ayon E. ↑,
83', Mariscal Murra S. 🟨,
84', Beltran Cruz F. 🟨,
86', Moreno I. ↓, Cisneros C. ↑,
86', Amione B. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Santos Laguna: Fagundez F. (Coach's decision)

There are questionable in León: Arcila D. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:34. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX
04.10.25	Club América - Santos Laguna	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Monterrey - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Santos Laguna - Tijuana	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Santos Laguna - Atlético San Luis	1:4 ✺
13.09.25	Atlas - Santos Laguna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLT
- Club León
Mexican Liga MX
04.10.25	Club León - Toluca	2:4 ✺
26.09.25	Juárez - Club León	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Club León - Mazatlan	2:2 ✺
19.09.25	Tijuana - Club León	5:0 ✺
13.09.25	Tigres UANL - Club León	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
09.03.25	Santos Laguna - Club León	2:1
24.08.24	Club León - Santos Laguna	1:1
27.01.24	Club León - Santos Laguna	3:2
26.11.23	Club León - Santos Laguna	3:2
08.10.23	Santos Laguna - Club León	0:2
19.03.23	Club León - Santos Laguna	4:1
18.08.22	Santos Laguna - Club León	2:1

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