The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos Laguna 34%
Draw 25.6%
Monterrey 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.6%
23.8%
51.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
23.2%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos Laguna's performance.
Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monterrey might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos Laguna that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monterrey could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
50%
20%
Santos Laguna - Monterrey Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Santos Laguna will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Monterrey will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Holguin H. (G) 22. Picon K. 35. Balanta K. 2. Amione B. 17. Echeverria E. 5. Lopez A. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 6. Guemez J. (C) 21. Villalba F. 10. Bullaude E. 9. Di Yorio L.
25. Mele S. (G) 2. Chavez R. 4. Guzman V. 13. Salcedo C. (C) 3. Arteaga G. 5. Ambriz F. 35. Fimbres I. 11. Orellano L. 17. Corona J. 29. Ocampos L. 192. Moxica J.
Substitutes
4. Abella J. 1. Acevedo C. (G) 7. Dajome C. 193. Gomez L. 11. Gruezo C. 29. Jimenez T. 24. Medina D. 14. Orona E. 19. Ortega H. 26. Sordo R.
19. Aceves A. 14. Aguirre E. 34. Bustos C. 22. Cardenas L. (G) 27. de la Rosa R. 246. Galvez O. 194. Reyes C. 21. Reyes L. 32. Rodriguez S. 251. Rojas A.
Coaches
Tapia O.
Sanchez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
38', Guzman V. 🟨,
41', Echeverria E. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Echeverria E. ⚽, Bullaude E. (A),
45+4', Mariscal Murra S. 🟨,
45+8', 2 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽, Bullaude E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Chavez R. 🟨,
60', Ambriz F. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
60', Chavez R. ↓, Reyes C. ↑,
60', Orellano L. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
66', Di Yorio L. 🟨,
66', Salcedo C. 🟨,
68', Villalba F. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Di Yorio L. ⚽, Bullaude E. (A),
77', Mariscal Murra S. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
77', Lopez A. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
81', Corona J. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
85', Balanta K. 🟨,
89', Di Yorio L. ↓, Dajome C. ↑,
89', Bullaude E. ↓, Jimenez T. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 0.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Monterrey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Monterrey has had a series of home games.
Monterrey might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Santos Laguna: Lozano C.
(Knee Injury)
Palacios K.
(Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Gruezo C.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Monterrey: Rodriguez J.
(Back Injury)
Salcedo C.
(Injury)
Torres O.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).