The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pachuca 68.8%
Draw 18.4%
Santos Laguna 12.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.2%
21.6%
16.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.7%
21.1%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pachuca's performance.
Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pachuca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Pachuca - Santos Laguna Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Moreno C. (C) 14. Sanchez C. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 12. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 188. Rodriguez S. 8. Guzman V. 29. Kenedy 28. Montiel E. 11. Idrissi O. 23. Rondon S.
1. Acevedo C. (G) 4. Abella J. (C) 35. Balanta K. 2. Amione B. 17. Echeverria E. 7. Dajome C. 195. Cedillo N. 6. Guemez J. 21. Villalba F. 10. Bullaude E. 9. Di Yorio L.
Substitutes
184. Alfaro C. 187. Alvarez G. 26. Bautista A. 13. Berlanga J. 18. Dominguez A. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 21. Lopez R. 5. Pedraza P. 7. Quinones L. 139. Ramirez J.
185. Echilvestre J. C. 193. Gomez L. 33. Holguin H. (G) 29. Jimenez T. 24. Medina D. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 14. Orona E. 19. Ortega H. 28. Perez J. 26. Sordo R.
Coaches
Solari E.
Tapia O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Di Yorio L. ⚽, Villalba F. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Guzman V. ⚽, Kenedy (A),
35', 2 - 1, Guzman V. ⚽, Montiel E. (A),
45+3', Dajome C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Dajome C. ↓, Sordo R. ↑,
52', Amione B. 🟥,
53', Cedillo N. ↓, Orona E. ↑,
57', Guemez J. 🟨,
60', 3 - 1, Guzman V. ⚽, Garcia Caprizo B. A. (A),
67', Montiel E. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
72', 4 - 1, Sanchez C. ⚽,
75', Bullaude E. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
82', Idrissi O. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
82', Kenedy ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
82', Villalba F. ↓, Jimenez T. ↑,
82', Di Yorio L. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
87', Rondon S. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
87', Guzman V. ↓, Pedraza P. ↑,
89', 4 - 2, Ramirez J. (Own goal),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 3.
Pachuca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Santos Laguna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Pachuca is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Mozo A.
(Broken Leg)
Rivera C.
(Red Card)
Rodriguez S.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Santos Laguna: Gruezo C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lozano C.
(Knee Injury)
Mariscal Murra S.
(Muscle Injury)
Picon K.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Bullaude E.
(Injury)
Cedillo N.
(Injury)
We predict that Pachuca will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:11. (average 2:1.1).
Mexico
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Moreno C. (C) 
Eduardo Bauermann 
Barreto S. D. 
Idrissi O. 
Rondon S. 
Balanta K. 
Villalba F. 
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