The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monterrey 39.8%
Draw 28.2%
Chivas Guadalajara 32%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.7%
25.5%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
25.3%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chivas Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chivas Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Andrada E. (G) 2. Chavez R. 5. Ambriz F. 4. Guzman V. 3. Arteaga G. 18. Garza C. 7. Ocampos L. 9. Rossi D. 25. Pineda O. 17. Corona J. (C) 99. Cuypers H.
1. Rangel R. (G) 23. Aguirre D. 16. Rey L. 3. Campillo Del Campo D. 37. Ledezma R. 28. Gonzalez F. (C) 6. Govea O. 5. Gonzalez B. 25. Alvarado R. 30. Sandoval S. 17. Marin R.
Substitutes
19. Aceves A. 14. Aguirre E. 22. Cardenas L. (G) 27. de la Rosa R. 33. Medina S. 10. Orellano L. 30. Rodriguez J. 244. Ruffin P. 13. Salcedo C. 8. Torres O.
10. Alvarez E. 182. Calderon L. 14. Camberos H. 33. Carrillo J. 19. Castaneda K. 56. Chavez A. 46. Hernandez C. 57. Hernandez J. 59. Inda S. 13. Whalley O. (G)
Coaches
Almeyda M.
Milito G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Alvarado R. ⚽, Sandoval S. (A),
19', Ocampos L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Ambriz F. ↓, Torres O. ↑,
60', Ledezma R. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
66', Govea O. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
66', Marin R. ↓, Castaneda K. ↑,
72', Garza C. ↓, Ruffin P. ↑,
79', Gonzalez B. ↓, Calderon L. ↑,
79', Aguirre D. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
79', Corona J. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
82', Ruffin P. 🟨,
88', Rossi D. 🟨,
90', Pineda O. 🟥,
90+7', 1 - 1, Rossi D. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 1.
Monterrey has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Guadalajara has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Monterrey may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Guadalajara has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Doubtful / questionable for Monterrey: Djurdjevic U.
(Inactive)
Torres O.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Guadalajara: Castillo J.
(Muscle Injury)
Govea O.
(Injury)
Gutierrez B.
(Muscle Injury)
Romo L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sepulveda A.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Monterrey has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:30 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Monterrey against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 14:17 goals (averaging 1.4:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Guadalajara Chivas
14
7
5
2
21:12
9
26
8
Monterrey
13
6
2
5
23:18
5
20
Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now
Guadalajara Chivas: 18.1% Monterrey: 8.85%
Last Results with these Odds
Monterrey - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.72%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Chivas Guadalajara - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.78%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Andrada E. (G) 
Chavez R. 
Rossi D. 
Cuypers H. 
Aguirre D. 
Medina S. 
Torres O. 
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