Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 19

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ebal Rodriguez Aguilar (Guápiles)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	Tigo Sports


	Santos de Guápiles		Puntarenas FC

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.6
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.7	2.95	2.7	Watch
	3.08	2.89	2.69
	2.77	2.81	2.87	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.7
	2.78	2.98	2.68	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.6)	2.94 ↓ (2.95)	2.69 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos de Guápiles
33.7%

Draw
31.7%

Puntarenas FC
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

31.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

31.5%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos de Guápiles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Puntarenas FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos de Guápiles than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puntarenas FC than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Santos de Guápiles - Puntarenas FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Aju M. (G) 91. Evans J. 3. Ordain J. 22. Aguero J. 33. Cortes W. 27. Basulto M. 88. Arauz A. 6. Ramirez F. 25. Climaco A. 16. Chirino R. 53. Villalobos J.	23. Moreira L. (G) 25. Gomez K. 4. Sanchez J. 6. Gutierrez K. 24. Ruiz J. 26. Mora A. 22. Castrillo D. 14. Sinclair A. 19. Renteria W. 18. Cundumi A. 11. Hernandez A.
Substitutes
31. Aguilar D. 24. Barthley D. 29. Cerdas K. 7. Cordero Gonzalez J. 12. Parker D. (G) 9. Rodriguez F. 20. Ruiz A.	33. Barrera Apu G. (G) 8. Madrigal D. 7. Ramirez K. 27. Sansores M. 20. Segura Murillo B. 30. Segura U. 12. Villalobos K.
Coaches
Centeno W.	Alpizar C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Ordain J. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Castrillo D. ⚽,
39', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Basulto M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aguero J. ↓, Cerdas K. ↑,
55', Cortes W. 🟨,
69', Evans J. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
71', Cerdas K. 🟨,
73', Castrillo D. ↓, Sansores M. ↑,
73', Renteria W. ↓, Segura U. ↑,
80', Chirino R. ↓, Barthley D. ↑,
80', Ramirez F. ↓, Cordero Gonzalez J. ↑,
80', Villalobos J. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
80', Aguilar D. 🟨,
81', Sinclair A. ↓, Segura Murillo B. ↑,
81', Hernandez A. ↓, Ramirez K. ↑,
87', Sansores M. 🟨,
89', Cundumi A. 🟨,
90+6', Mora A. 🟨,
90+8', Aju M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos de Guápiles won 1.

Santos de Guápiles is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Puntarenas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santos de Guápiles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Santos de Guápiles won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Santos de Guápiles won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Guápiles
Costa Rican Primera Division
15.04.25	Herediano - Santos de Guápiles	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Santos de Guápiles - Sporting San José	2:3 ✺
06.04.25	Alajuelense - Santos de Guápiles	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Santos de Guápiles - Municipal Liberia	0:1 ✺
27.03.25	Santos de Guápiles - Deportivo Saprissa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLLW
- Puntarenas FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
15.04.25	Puntarenas FC - Deportivo Saprissa	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Puntarenas FC - San Carlos	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Municipal Liberia - Puntarenas FC	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Cartagines - Puntarenas FC	1:0 ✺
26.03.25	Puntarenas FC - Sporting San José	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
18.01.25	Puntarenas FC - Santos de Guápiles	2:1
25.10.24	Puntarenas FC - Santos de Guápiles	1:0
02.08.24	Santos de Guápiles - Puntarenas FC	0:0
21.04.24	Santos de Guápiles - Puntarenas FC	2:1
17.02.24	Puntarenas FC - Santos de Guápiles	3:1
30.09.23	Santos de Guápiles - Puntarenas FC	2:1
29.07.23	Puntarenas FC - Santos de Guápiles	0:0

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