Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 5

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Sarpsborg Stadion (Sarpsborg)

Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Sarpsborg 08		Tromsø

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.5	2.12	Watch
	3.27	3.65	2.26
	3.24	3.64	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.1
	3.36	3.52	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.35)	3.5 (3.5)	2.14 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 08
28.6%

Draw
27.1%

Tromsø
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

27.1%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

27.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Sarpsborg 08 - Tromsø Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tromsø will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ndiaye M. (G) 12. Niyukuri C. 4. Utvik B. (C) 24. Rosted S. 21. Hiim A. 10. Sorli S. 6. Sher A. 8. Christiansen S. 17. Williams N. 11. Karlsbakk D. 33. Nibe A.	1. Haugaard J. (G) 2. Cornic L. 4. Skjaervik V. 21. Guddal T. 25. Kinteh A. S. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 5. Edvardsson D. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 6. Hjerto-Dahl J. 7. Larsen L. O. 22. Larsen H.
Substitutes
14. Berget J. 26. Chriso 18. Gueye B. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 2. Koch M. 5. Odegaard M. 87. Oy L. (G) 81. Svenningsen Gronn M. 32. Wichne E.	9. Braut D. 19. Elvebu A. L. 24. Husebo J. 37. Innvaer S. 12. Lauvli O. (G) 27. Mikkelsen M. 10. Nyhammer T. 3. Tonnessen M. 30. Vadebu I.
Coaches
Sel E.	Vik J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Cornic L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ⚽, Hjerto-Dahl J. (A),
65', Williams N. ↓, Wichne E. ↑,
71', Larsen H. ↓, Braut D. ↑,
72', Christiansen S. ↓, Berget J. ↑,
72', Niyukuri C. ↓, Halvorsen V. E. ↑,
80', Cornic L. ↓, Vadebu I. ↑,
86', Nibe A. ↓, Gueye B. ↑,
90+1', Larsen L. O. ↓, Husebo J. ↑,

Preview

Playing 120 minutes.

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 2.

Sarpsborg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tromsø is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sarpsborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tromsø has had a series of home games.

Tromsø could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Sarpsborg: Berget J. (Injury) Carstensen F. (Injury) Opoku M. (Ankle Injury) Reinhardsen P. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Tromsø: Grundt J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Camil Mmaee (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:31. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	40:29	11	38
9	Sarpsborg 08	21	6	7	8	24:29	-5	25

Last Results with these Odds

Tromsø - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.67%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.04.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Start	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Sandefjord - Sarpsborg 08	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
08.03.26	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLTWL
- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.04.26	Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Tromsø - Kristiansund	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Tromsø - Rosenborg	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Tromsø - Start	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.03.26	Brann - Tromsø	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
02.11.25	Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08	4:0
25.05.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Tromsø	0:1
Club Friendly
13.02.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Tromsø	3:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.12.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Tromsø	2:1
28.04.24	Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08	0:3
26.08.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Tromsø	4:0
04.06.23	Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08	2:1

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