The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarpsborg 08 47.7%
Draw 23.5%
Vålerenga 28.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.3%
24.7%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
24.7%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Larsen J. (G) 7. Camil Mmaee 8. Christiansen S. (C) 21. Hiim A. 11. Karlsbakk D. 2. Lode M. 33. Nibe A. 12. Niyukuri C. 24. Rosted S. 6. Sher A. 17. Williams N.
1. Hedvall O. (G) 29. Ambina F. 6. Hedenstad V. (C) 15. Holm O. T. 10. Lange C. 37. Nasberg I. 7. Nielsen H. 9. Rajkovic G. 3. Sjatil H. 5. Tshiembe K. 28. Westergaard M.
Substitutes
18. Gueye B. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 5. Hoyland L. 87. Oy L. (G) 20. Reinhardsen P. 77. Skarsem O. 10. Sorli S. 4. Utvik B. 32. Wichne E.
26. Gjengaar D. 17. Grundetjern M. 77. Haren L. 55. Jarl S. 13. Lonning S. A. A. (G) 4. Olsen A. 39. Opsahl G. 90. Saeter O. 11. Zahid G.
Coaches
Sel E.
Moesgaard J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Camil Mmaee ⚽, Hiim A. (A),
41', Camil Mmaee 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Rajkovic G. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Camil Mmaee ⚽, Williams N. (A),
59', 2 - 1, Gjengaar D. ⚽, Westergaard M. (A),
63', Niyukuri C. ↓, Sorli S. ↑,
63', Camil Mmaee ↓, Reinhardsen P. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Gjengaar D. ⚽, Nielsen H. (A),
69', 3 - 2, Karlsbakk D. ⚽,
70', Ambina F. ↓, Grundetjern M. ↑,
70', Hedenstad V. ↓, Haren L. ↑,
72', Westergaard M. 🟨,
72', Williams N. ↓, Skarsem O. ↑,
73', Lode M. ↓, Utvik B. ↑,
80', Westergaard M. ↓, Zahid G. ↑,
80', Nielsen H. ↓, Saeter O. ↑,
85', Nibe A. ↓, Halvorsen V. E. ↑,
88', Karlsbakk D. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 0.
Sarpsborg has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Vålerenga is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Vålerenga could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sarpsborg holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:36 (averaging 1.4:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sarpsborg against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:8 goals (averaging 1.6:1 per game).