Match Info

Serie A - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday ⏱️ In 3h 47m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	14:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect
Austria	18:30	DAZN
Bangladesh	23:30	Begin
Belarus	20:30	Sport TV
Bolivia	13:30	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	14:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	00:30	MyTV
Canada	13:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network
China	01:30	Migu
Colombia	12:30	ESPN 2
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:30	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:30	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	12:30	ESPN 2
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:30	DAZN France
Georgia	21:30	Silk Sport 1
Germany	18:30	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	01:30	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
India	23:00	ZEE5
Indonesia	00:30	Vidio
Iraq	20:30	Almanasa
Israel	19:30	Sport 3
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	20:30	Shasha
Macao	01:30	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	01:30	Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	22:30	ICE Plus, Medianet
Mexico	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	18:30	VG+
Paraguay	14:30	ESPN 2
Peru	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	20:30	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:30	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	19:30	SuperSport Football
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Suriname	14:30	SCCN
Sweden	18:30	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	18:30	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	18:30	Diwan Sport
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	17:30	DAZN
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	13:30	CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Sassuolo		Lazio

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.50	2.05
	3.40	3.50	2.10
	3.4	3.5	2.08
	3.65	3.75	2.14
	3.52	3.65	2.05	Watch
	3.55	3.45	2.07
	3.59	3.65	2.16
	3.45	3.65	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.83)	3.58 ↑ (3.47)	2.08 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
27.3%

Draw
26.7%

Lazio
46%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27.6%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

28%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sassuolo's form might have worsened.

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lazio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sassuolo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lazio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.7%	12.9%	77.4%

Sassuolo - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Lazio will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.29) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS - no (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - Lazio & Yes (3.75) (votes: 82%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 14th and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Sassuolo (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lazio is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Lazio has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lazio holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Idzes J. (Muscle Injury) Kone I. (Broken Leg) Leysen F. (Knee Injury) Paz Y. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Lazio: Furlanetto A. (Knee Injury) Gudmundsson A. (Shoulder Injury) Marusic A. (Muscle Injury) Rovella N. (Calf Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Lazio: Pinamonti A. (Illness).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sassuolo has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:34 (averaging 1.1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sassuolo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 8:13 goals (averaging 0.9:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lazio	8	7	1	0	16:5	11	22
14	Sassuolo	8	2	2	4	12:16	-4	8

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Lazio: 3.16% Sassuolo: 0.07%

Last Results with these Odds

Lazio - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.65%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
24.10.26	Como - Sassuolo	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Frosinone - Sassuolo	4:2 ✺
11.10.26	Sassuolo - Milan	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Monza - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sassuolo - Juventus	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLTLW
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
24.10.26	Lazio - Parma	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Juventus - Lazio	0:3 ✺
11.10.26	Lazio - Monza	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Lazio - Juve Stabia	3:3
27.09.26	Lazio - Arezzo	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.03.26	Lazio - Sassuolo	2:1
14.09.25	Sassuolo - Lazio	1:0
26.05.24	Lazio - Sassuolo	1:1
21.10.23	Sassuolo - Lazio	0:2
03.05.23	Lazio - Sassuolo	2:0
15.01.23	Sassuolo - Lazio	0:2
02.04.22	Lazio - Sassuolo	2:1

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