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Sassuolo - Parma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 18
  • Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)
  • Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Sassuolo Parma
    Sassuolo Parma
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 1.99 ↑
    (1.91)    		 3.28 ↓
    (3.39)    		 4.12 ↓
    (4.3)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Sassuolo
    47.8%    		Draw
    29%    		Parma
    23.1%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    49.8% 28.1% 22.1%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    49.8% 28.1% 22.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    65.5% 17.2% 17.2%

    Sassuolo - Parma Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%). Parma will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 46.6% – 82%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Parma (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Parma (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Parma (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    49. KosovoMuric A. (G)
      6. PolandWalukiewicz S.
    21. IndonesiaIdzes J.
    80. BosniaMuharemovic T.
      3. ScotlandDoig J.
    35. ItalyLipani L.
    18. SerbiaMatic N. (C)
    42. NorwayThorstvedt K.
    45. FranceLauriente A.
    99. ItalyPinamonti A.
    20. GambiaFadera A.
    		40. ItalyCorvi E. (G)
    15. ItalyDel Prato E. (C)
    39. AustraliaCircati A.
      5. ArgentinaValenti L.
    21. ItalyOristanio G.
    16. BelgiumKeita M.
    10. SpainBernabe A.
    22. DenmarkSorensen O.
    14. ItalyValeri E.
    17. SwedenOndrejka J.
      9. ArgentinaPellegrino M.
    Substitutes
    34. ItalyBarani L.
      5. Guinea-BissauCande F.
      9. MoroccoCheddira W.
    44. ItalyIannoni E.
    90. CanadaKone I.
    31. ItalyMacchioni T.
    24. ItalyMoro L.
    26. NetherlandsOdenthal C.
    77. ItalyPierini N.
    12. ItalySatalino G. (G)
    14. DenmarkSkjellerup L.
    13. ItalyTurati S. (G)
    40. BelgiumVranckx A.
    16. ItalyZacchi G. (G)
    		11. SwedenAlmqvist P.
    27. SwitzerlandBritschgi S.
    75. ItalyCardinali A.
    25. USACremaschi B.
    32. ItalyCutrone P.
    30. BosniaDjuric M.
      8. ArgentinaEstevez N.
    13. SpainGuaita V. (G)
    23. BrazilHernani
    18. NorwayLovik M.
    24. ArgentinaOrdonez C.
    66. ItalyRinaldi F. (G)
    37. ArgentinaTroilo M.
    Coaches
         ItalyGrosso F.
    		     SpainCuesta C.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 1)
    • 12', 1 - 0, Thorstvedt K. ⚽, Walukiewicz S. (A),
    • 24', 1 - 1, Pellegrino M. ⚽,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 59', Matic N. 🟨,
    • 59', Lipani L. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
    • 70', Ondrejka J. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
    • 70', Oristanio G. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
    • 74', Fadera A. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
    • 78', Del Prato E. ↓, Britschgi S. ↑,
    • 85', Pinamonti A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
    • 85', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
    • 86', Doig J. ↓, Cande F. ↑,
    • 89', Circati A. 🟨,
    • 90+4', Walukiewicz S. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 15).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 2.
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • Sassuolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Sassuolo is a strong favorite.
  • There will not play in Sassuolo: Berardi D. (Muscle Injury) Boloca D. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly W. (International duty) Paz Y. (Hip Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Romagna F. (Calf Injury)
  • There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)
  • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.3:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

    • Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Sassuolo: 0.25% Parma: 0.2%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    10Sassuolo52129:907
    15Parma51134:7-34

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Sassuolo
    Italian Serie A
    28.12.25 Bologna - Sassuolo 1:1 ✺
    21.12.25 Sassuolo - Torino 0:1 ✺
    14.12.25 Milan - Sassuolo 2:2 ✺
    06.12.25 Sassuolo - Fiorentina 3:1 ✺
    28.11.25 Como - Sassuolo 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3
    TLTWL
    - FC Parma
    Italian Serie A
    27.12.25 Parma - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺
    13.12.25 Parma - Lazio 0:1 ✺
    08.12.25 Pisa - Parma 0:1 ✺
    Coppa Italia
    04.12.25 Bologna - Parma 2:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A
    29.11.25 Parma - Udinese 0:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9
    WLWLL
    Latest Head to Head
    Club Friendly
    02.08.23 Parma - Sassuolo 1:0
    01.08.21 Parma - Sassuolo 0:3
    Italian Serie A
    16.05.21 Parma - Sassuolo 1:3
    17.01.21 Sassuolo - Parma 1:1
    16.02.20 Sassuolo - Parma 0:1
    25.09.19 Parma - Sassuolo 1:0
    14.04.19 Sassuolo - Parma 0:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Sassuolo
    Italian Serie A
    16.10.26 Frosinone - Sassuolo ✺
    11.10.26 Sassuolo - Milan ✺
    - FC Parma
    Italian Serie A
    10.10.26 Inter Milan - Parma ✺

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