Match Info

Serie A - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Angola	15:00	Z Sports 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	15:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	15:00	DAZN France
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	15:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Indonesia	21:00	ANTV, Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 2
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	08:00	Disney+
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV5
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	21:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	17:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	TV 360, VTVcab


	Sassuolo		Parma

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.98	3.25	4.15	Watch
	1.96	3.31	4.25	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.9
	2.09	3.36	4.2
	2	3.33	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.91)	3.28 ↓ (3.39)	4.12 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
47.8%

Draw
29%

Parma
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.8%

28.1%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

28.1%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.5%	17.2%	17.2%

Sassuolo - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%). Parma will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 46.6% – 82%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Parma (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Parma (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Parma (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Muric A. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 35. Lipani L. 18. Matic N. (C) 42. Thorstvedt K. 45. Lauriente A. 99. Pinamonti A. 20. Fadera A.	40. Corvi E. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 39. Circati A. 5. Valenti L. 21. Oristanio G. 16. Keita M. 10. Bernabe A. 22. Sorensen O. 14. Valeri E. 17. Ondrejka J. 9. Pellegrino M.
Substitutes
34. Barani L. 5. Cande F. 9. Cheddira W. 44. Iannoni E. 90. Kone I. 31. Macchioni T. 24. Moro L. 26. Odenthal C. 77. Pierini N. 12. Satalino G. (G) 14. Skjellerup L. 13. Turati S. (G) 40. Vranckx A. 16. Zacchi G. (G)	11. Almqvist P. 27. Britschgi S. 75. Cardinali A. 25. Cremaschi B. 32. Cutrone P. 30. Djuric M. 8. Estevez N. 13. Guaita V. (G) 23. Hernani 18. Lovik M. 24. Ordonez C. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 37. Troilo M.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Thorstvedt K. ⚽, Walukiewicz S. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Pellegrino M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Matic N. 🟨,
59', Lipani L. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
70', Ondrejka J. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
70', Oristanio G. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
74', Fadera A. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
78', Del Prato E. ↓, Britschgi S. ↑,
85', Pinamonti A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
85', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
86', Doig J. ↓, Cande F. ↑,
89', Circati A. 🟨,
90+4', Walukiewicz S. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sassuolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sassuolo is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Berardi D. (Muscle Injury) Boloca D. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly W. (International duty) Paz Y. (Hip Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Romagna F. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	14:22	-8	8
18	Parma	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Sassuolo: 0.18% Parma: 0.11%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
28.12.25	Bologna - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sassuolo - Torino	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Milan - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Sassuolo - Fiorentina	3:1 ✺
28.11.25	Como - Sassuolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLTWL
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
27.12.25	Parma - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Parma - Lazio	0:1 ✺
08.12.25	Pisa - Parma	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Bologna - Parma	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Parma - Udinese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.23	Parma - Sassuolo	1:0
01.08.21	Parma - Sassuolo	0:3
Italian Serie A
16.05.21	Parma - Sassuolo	1:3
17.01.21	Sassuolo - Parma	1:1
16.02.20	Sassuolo - Parma	0:1
25.09.19	Parma - Sassuolo	1:0
14.04.19	Sassuolo - Parma	0:0

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