Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 22

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Perri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Sassuolo		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.1	7	Watch
	1.49	4.2	6.25
	1.5	4.2	6	Watch
	1.52	4.13	6.72	Watch
	1.5	4	6.5
	1.53	4.15	6.35	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)	4.14 ↓ (4.14)	6.4 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
62.6%

Draw
22.7%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

22.7%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

22.2%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	4.5%	4.5%

Sassuolo - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: Sassuolo will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 26. Odenthal C. 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 42. Thorstvedt K. (C) 8. Ghion A. 11. Boloca D. 10. Berardi D. 9. Mulattieri S. 77. Pierini N.	1. Poluzzi G. (G) 28. Kofler R. 19. Pietrangeli N. 34. Veseli F. 79. Molina S. 17. Casiraghi D. (C) 99. Praszelik M. 18. Pyyhtia N. 11. Zedadka K. 33. Merkaj S. 90. Odogwu R.
Substitutes
28. Antiste J. 40. Iannoni E. 45. Lauriente A. 35. Lipani L. 20. Lovato M. 24. Moro L. 14. Obiang P. 17. Paz Y. 15. Pieragnolo E. 91. Russo F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 7. Volpato C.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 9. Crespi V. 14. Davi F. 24. Davi S. 30. Giorgini A. 16. Lamanna E. (G) 8. Mallamo A. 6. Martini J. 15. Rottensteiner B. 7. Rover M.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Castori F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Odogwu R. ⚽, Zedadka K. (A),
7', Veseli F. 🟨,
9', 1 - 1, Berardi D. ⚽, Doig J. (A),
11', 1 - 2, Pyyhtia N. ⚽, Odogwu R. (A),
35', Pyyhtia N. 🟨,
43', Merkaj S. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Merkaj S. ↓, Rover M. ↑,
51', Odogwu R. 🟨,
55', 2 - 2, Doig J. ⚽, Thorstvedt K. (A),
58', 3 - 2, Boloca D. ⚽,
64', 3 - 3, Pietrangeli N. ⚽, Pyyhtia N. (A),
65', Ghion A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
66', Pierini N. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
66', Mulattieri S. ↓, Lauriente A. ↑,
69', 4 - 3, Lauriente A. ⚽, Boloca D. (A),
75', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
75', Odogwu R. ↓, Crespi V. ↑,
75', Praszelik M. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
81', Molina S. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
82', Mallamo A. 🟨,
83', Boloca D. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
90', Obiang P. 🟨,
90+1', Berardi D. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 3, Volpato C. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Sassuolo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Südtirol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sassuolo is certain favorite.

There will not play in Südtirol: Masiello A. (Injury) Tait F. (Thigh Injury) Vimercati A. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Sassuolo to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:0 (average 2.8:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Sassuolo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:0 (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
12.01.25	Salernitana - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
29.12.24	Sassuolo - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Pisa - Sassuolo	3:1 ✺
21.12.24	Sassuolo - Palermo	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Frosinone - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
12.01.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Modena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Mantova	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.11.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sassuolo	0:1
Club Friendly
27.07.23	Sassuolo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	4:0
21.07.22	Sassuolo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0
22.07.15	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sassuolo	0:4

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