Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 12

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Sassuolo		Mantova

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.25	Watch
	1.52	4.33	5.5
	1.52	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.54	4.4	6.17
	1.54	4.37	5.81	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5.5
	1.5	4.7	5.8	Watch
	1.52	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	4.36 ↑ (4.26)	5.75 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
62%

Draw
21.6%

Mantova
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

22.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

21.1%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Sassuolo - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: Sassuolo will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Satalino G. (G) 23. Toljan J. 26. Odenthal C. 19. Romagna F. 15. Pieragnolo E. 11. Boloca D. 14. Obiang P. (C) 10. Berardi D. 42. Thorstvedt K. 45. Lauriente A. 91. Russo F.	1. Festa M. (G) 27. Maggioni T. 13. Brignani F. 5. Redolfi A. 4. Solini M. 28. Muroni M. 8. Burrai S. (C) 14. Galuppini F. 70. Aramu M. 11. Fiori A. 19. Mancuso L.
Substitutes
28. Antiste J. 29. Caligara F. 25. D'Andrea L. 40. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 44. Miranda K. 24. Moro L. 80. Muharemovic T. 9. Mulattieri S. 17. Paz Y. 77. Pierini N. 1. Russo A. (G)	24. Artioli F. 6. Bani C. 30. Bragantini D. 29. Cella S. 9. Debenedetti A. 87. De Maio S. 20. Fedel G. 7. Mensah D. 23. Panizzi E. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 21. Trimboli S. 10. Wieser D.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Solini M. 🟨,
23', Lauriente A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Solini M. ↓, Panizzi E. ↑,
58', Muroni M. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Berardi D. (Pen),
64', Aramu M. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
64', Galuppini F. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
65', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
70', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
70', Russo F. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
85', Muroni M. ↓, Trimboli S. ↑,
89', Pieragnolo E. ↓, Paz Y. ↑,
89', Berardi D. ↓, Muharemovic T. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).

Sassuolo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mantova is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Volpato C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Mantova: Cella S. (Injury) Radaelli N. (Thigh Injury)

Our prediction for today's Sassuolo to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Including matches at home between the teams Sassuolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
29.10.24	Juve Stabia - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Sassuolo - Modena	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Brescia - Sassuolo	2:5 ✺
05.10.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	6:1 ✺
28.09.24	Sassuolo - Spezia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWT
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
30.10.24	Mantova - Palermo	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Sampdoria - Mantova	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Carrarese - Mantova	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Mantova - Brescia	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Cesena - Mantova	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.08.13	Sassuolo - Mantova	4:0

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