Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 13

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Giua A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.6	3	2.15
	3.6	3.1	2.15	Watch
	4	3.06	2.21
	3.83	3.07	2.16	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.15
	3.67	3.38	2.07	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.22)	3.13 ↓ (3.18)	2.14 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
25.8%

Draw
30.1%

Sassuolo
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

29.7%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

29.5%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	7.1%	78.6%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 57.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Drago G. (G) 79. Molina S. 28. Kofler R. 19. Pietrangeli N. 5. Masiello A. (C) 24. Davi S. 7. Rover M. 27. Kurtic J. 4. Arrigoni T. 11. Zedadka K. 33. Merkaj S.	12. Satalino G. (G) 23. Toljan J. 80. Muharemovic T. 19. Romagna F. 15. Pieragnolo E. 14. Obiang P. 11. Boloca D. 10. Berardi D. (C) 42. Thorstvedt K. 45. Lauriente A. 91. Russo F.
Substitutes
17. Casiraghi D. 23. Ceppitelli L. 9. Crespi V. 14. Davi F. 2. El Kaouakibi H. 30. Giorgini A. 8. Mallamo A. 6. Martini J. 90. Odogwu R. 99. Praszelik M. 62. Theiner D. (G) 68. Vimercati A.	29. Caligara F. 25. D'Andrea L. 40. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 44. Miranda K. 2. Missori F. 24. Moro L. 9. Mulattieri S. 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 77. Pierini N. 1. Russo A. (G)
Coaches
Zaffaroni M.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Merkaj S. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Lauriente A. ⚽,
60', Zedadka K. ↓, Casiraghi D. ↑,
61', Merkaj S. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
61', Russo F. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
61', Obiang P. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
68', Lauriente A. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
70', Mulattieri S. 🟨,
75', Rover M. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
75', Kurtic J. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
84', Molina S. ↓, Crespi V. ↑,
89', Berardi D. ↓, Odenthal C. ↑,
89', Pieragnolo E. ↓, Paz Y. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Südtirol is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sassuolo is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sassuolo will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Südtirol: Poluzzi G. (Muscle Injury) Tait F. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Sassuolo: Doig J. (Knock) Ghion A. (Knock)

There are questionable in Südtirol: Cagnano A. (Injury) El Kaouakibi H. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:10 (average 0:3.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
03.11.24	Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Catanzaro - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Pisa	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLLW
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
03.11.24	Sassuolo - Mantova	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Juve Stabia - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Sassuolo - Modena	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Brescia - Sassuolo	2:5 ✺
05.10.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.23	Sassuolo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	4:0
21.07.22	Sassuolo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0
22.07.15	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sassuolo	0:4

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