Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Sassuolo		Modena

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.5	4.2
	1.83	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.86	3.53	4.76
	1.86	3.55	4.36	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.8
	1.85	3.64	4.24	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.92)	3.53 ↑ (3.46)	4.26 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
51.1%

Draw
26.7%

Modena
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

26.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Sassuolo - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Modena will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 19. Romagna F. (C) 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 42. Thorstvedt K. 8. Ghion A. 40. Iannoni E. 7. Volpato C. 9. Mulattieri S. 45. Lauriente A.	26. Gagno R. (G) 25. Dellavalle A. 19. Zaro G. 23. Caldara M. 27. Idrissi R. 10. Palumbo A. 5. Battistella T. 21. Bozhanaj K. 8. Santoro S. 16. Gerli F. (C) 90. Abiuso F.
Substitutes
10. Berardi D. 29. Caligara F. 35. Lipani L. 44. Miranda K. 24. Moro L. 14. Obiang P. 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 15. Pieragnolo E. 77. Pierini N. 91. Russo F. 12. Satalino G. (G)	78. Bagheria F. (G) 2. Beyuku G. 31. Botteghin E. 20. Caso G. 33. Cauz C. 29. Cotali M. 92. Defrel G. 18. Di Pardo A. 7. Duca E. 9. Gliozzi E. 6. Magnino L. 1. Sassi J. (G)
Coaches
Grosso F.	Bisoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Iannoni E. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Lauriente A. (Pen),
45+1', Volpato C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Iannoni E. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
46', Battistella T. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
46', Volpato C. ↓, Berardi D. ↑,
60', Mulattieri S. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
60', Ghion A. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
61', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Caso G. ↑,
61', Idrissi R. ↓, Di Pardo A. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Thorstvedt K. ⚽, Lipani L. (A),
65', Abiuso F. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
78', Gerli F. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
81', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Sassuolo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Modena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

There will not play in Modena: Caso G. (Injury) Mendes P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Modena: Defrel G. (Injury) Ponsi F. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sassuolo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
19.10.24	Brescia - Sassuolo	2:5 ✺
05.10.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	6:1 ✺
28.09.24	Sassuolo - Spezia	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.24	Lecce - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Nuova Cosenza - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWTWW
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
19.10.24	Modena - Palermo	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Catanzaro - Modena	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Modena - Sampdoria	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Modena - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
13.09.24	Cesena - Modena	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
08.08.22	Modena - Sassuolo	3:2
15.08.15	Sassuolo - Modena	2:0
Italian Serie B
26.04.13	Modena - Sassuolo	2:1
07.12.12	Sassuolo - Modena	2:0
06.04.12	Sassuolo - Modena	N/A

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