Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Sassuolo		Venezia

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.5	Watch
	1.51	4.5	5.75
	1.62	4.1	5.3	Watch
	1.64	4	4.9
	1.65	4.14	5.61
	1.62	4	5.5
	1.65	4.15	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.48)	4.13 ↓ (4.66)	5.45 ↓ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
59.3%

Draw
23.2%

Venezia
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

20.3%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

13%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sassuolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.2%	2.9%	5.9%

Sassuolo - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: Sassuolo will win (62 of 68 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.44% – 97.92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Sassuolo has the most likely position - 10 (9.62%), has project points - 50, has currently - 8, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Venezia has the most likely position - 19 (12.17%), has project points - 37, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (36%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sassuolo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Venezia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
17.10.21	Genoa - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
02.10.21	Sassuolo - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
26.09.21	Sassuolo - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
21.09.21	Atalanta - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
17.09.21	Sassuolo - Torino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLWLL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
18.10.21	Venezia - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
01.10.21	Cagliari - Venezia	1:1 ✺
27.09.21	Venezia - Torino	1:1 ✺
22.09.21	Milan - Venezia	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Venezia - Spezia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTTLL

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