The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cagliari 36.7%
Draw 32%
Venezia 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
31.1%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
31%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
47.4%
34.2%
18.4%
Cagliari - Venezia Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 16 - 45.7%). Venezia will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 37.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 29.2% – 62.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 6 - 40%). Venezia (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Cagliari (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Venezia (1.52) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DNB - Venezia (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Venezia (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Venezia (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Caprile E. (G) 28. Zappa G. 26. Mina Y. 6. Luperto S. 19. Zortea N. 8. Adopo M. 29. Makoumbou A. 14. Deiola A. (C) 3. Augello T. 77. Luvumbo Z. 91. Piccoli R.
28. Radu I. (G) 25. Schingtienne J. 4. Idzes J. 2. Cande F. 24. Zerbin A. 71. Perez K. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 6. Busio G. (C) 77. Ellertsson M. E. 10. Yeboah J. 11. Oristanio G.
Substitutes
1. Ciocci G. (G) 9. Coman F. 97. Felici M. 70. Gaetano G. 21. Jankto J. 18. Marin R. 80. Mutandwa K. 33. Obert A. 24. Palomino J. L. 36. Pintus N. 16. Prati M. 71. Sherri A. (G) 10. Viola N.
19. Bjarkason B. 79. Carboni F. 97. Doumbia I. 18. Fila D. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 5. Haps R. 1. Joronen J. (G) 16. Marcandalli A. 99. Maric M. 21. Sagrado R. 35. Stankovic F. (G) 33. Sverko M. 7. Zampano F.
Coaches
Nicola D.
Di Francesco E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Idzes J. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Mina Y. ⚽, Augello T. (A),
14', Deiola A. 🟨,
32', Oristanio G. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
41', 2 - 0, Piccoli R. ⚽, Zortea N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Luvumbo Z. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
70', Yeboah J. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
70', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
70', Schingtienne J. ↓, Zampano F. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Deiola A. ⚽, Makoumbou A. (A),
74', Makoumbou A. ↓, Prati M. ↑,
75', Deiola A. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
75', Perez K. ↓, Doumbia I. ↑,
87', Zortea N. ↓, Pintus N. ↑,
87', Adopo M. ↓, Viola N. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1.
Cagliari is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Venezia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Venezia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Cagliari: Coman F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mina Y.
(Thigh Injury)
Pavoletti L.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Venezia: Conde C.
(Broken Leg)
Crnigoj D.
(Inactive)
Duncan A.
(Calf Injury)
Sagrado R.
(Muscle Injury)
Svoboda M.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).