Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Schalke 04		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5	Watch
	1.57	4.4	5.25
	1.5	4.35	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.69	6.08
	1.09	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.51	4.35	5.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.74)	3.86 ↑ (3.75)	4.79 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
59.4%

Draw
22.5%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

24.5%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

23.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schalke 04's performance.

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	8.3%	12.5%

Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 43. Ayhan M. 4. Kurucay H. 16. N'Diaye M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 24. Aouchiche A. 21. Ljubicic D. 9. Sylla M. 19. Karaman K. (C)	33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 25. Zimmermann M. 15. Oberdorf T. 44. Egouli E. 3. Lenz C. 14. Alexandropoulos S. 6. Breithaupt T. 19. Iyoha E. 23. Appelkamp S. 20. Ljubicic M. 13. Itten C.
Substitutes
18. Antwi-Adjei C. 14. Bachmann J. 33. Becker V. 10. Dzeko E. 17. Gantenbein A. 7. Gomis C. 3. Leonard D. 22. Muller K. (G) 2. Sanchez F.	40. Anhari H. 2. Daland J. 11. Hettwer J. 5. Heyer M. 1. Lotka M. (G) 12. Lunddal V. 27. Paulina J. 7. Raimund L. 29. Sauck K.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Ende A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Karaman K. ⚽,
22', Breithaupt T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Sylla M. 🟨,
64', Breithaupt T. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
65', Lenz C. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
68', Aouchiche A. 🟨,
69', Ljubicic D. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
71', Zimmermann M. ↓, Lunddal V. ↑,
81', Appelkamp S. ↓, Sauck K. ↑,
81', Ljubicic M. ↓, Paulina J. ↑,
82', Kurucay H. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
82', Sylla M. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
90+2', Sauck K. 🟨,
90+3', Lenz C. 🟨,
90+5', Aouchiche A. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 1.

Schalke is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fortuna is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Schalke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Schalke is a strong favorite.

We predict that Schalke will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:12. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
26.04.26	Paderborn - Schalke 04	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Schalke 04 - Preußen Münster	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Schweinfurt - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWL
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
24.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Dynamo Dresden	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hertha Berlin	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
05.12.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	0:2
10.05.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	2:0
14.12.24	Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1
27.04.24	Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1
25.11.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	5:3
13.02.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	2:1
28.08.21	Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:1

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