The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Schalke 04 27.5%
Draw 26.1%
Mainz 46.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.7%
25.6%
46.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
25.3%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29%
16.1%
54.8%
Schalke 04 - Mainz Predictions
Users Predictions:
62 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 18 - 29%). Mainz will win (votes: 34 - 54.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 42.4% โ 67.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (53.08%), has project points - 25, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (78%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mainz has the most likely position - 9 (9.5%), has project points - 47, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality61, importance33, match rating47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Schalke won 1.
Schalke has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Mainz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Mainz will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Schalke: Cisse I.
(Injury)
Greiml L.
(Knee Injury)
Kaminski M.
(Calf Injury)
Ouwejan T.
(Ankle Injury)
Zalazar R.
(Injury)
van den Berg S.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Mainz: Leitsch M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Mustapha S.
(Muscle Injury)
Our prediction for today's Mainz to win the game is with odds 2.05.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Schalke won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-6.
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