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Current Win Probability
Schalke 04 29.5%
Draw 28%
Union Berlin 42.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31%
26.8%
42.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
26.8%
42.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.3%
38.6%
35.1%
Schalke 04 - Union Berlin Predictions
Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 15 - 26.3%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 20 - 35.1%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 38.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26% โ 51.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (15.9%), has project points - 34, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Union Berlin has the most likely position - 6 (8.89%), has project points - 50, has currently - 7, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (24%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality64, importance43, match rating54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Schalke is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Union Berlin is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Schalke have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Schalke: Greiml L.
(Injury)
There will not play in Union Berlin: Baumgartl T.
(Illness)
There are questionable in Schalke: Polter S.
(Thigh Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Schalke won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
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