Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 3
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, FuboTV, MLS Season Pass, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
World	Apple TV


	Seattle Sounders		Necaxa

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.33	4.33	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.1
	1.72	4	4.2	Watch
	1.72	4.24	4.59
	1.72	4.21	4.32	Watch
	1.72	4.15	4.38	Watch
	1.72	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.61)	4.09 ↑ (3.9)	4.3 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

Watch this match and CONCACAF League Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Sports 1

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Sounders
55.2%

Draw
23%

Necaxa
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

23%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Seattle Sounders - Necaxa Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Necaxa will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Necaxa: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thomas A. (G) 16. Roldan A. 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 25. Ragen J. 21. Baker-Whiting R. 75. Leyva D. 18. Vargas O. 7. Roldan C. (C) 11. Rusnak A. 10. de La Vega P. 17. Musovski D.	22. Unsain E. (G) 3. Oliveros A. 18. Sandoval R. 23. Montes A. 6. Jesus Alcantar 33. Arce F. (C) 8. Palavecino A. 19. Gomez D. 10. Paradela J. 15. Garnica B. 27. Cambindo D.
Substitutes
15. Bell J. 29. Castro J. (G) 23. Chu L. 24. Frei S. (G) 6. Joao Paulo 77. Kitahara S. 13. Morris J. 4. Nathan 5. Nouhou 14. Rothrock P. 99. Teves D.	13. Andrade A. 9. Badaloni T. 17. Cortez R. 242. Estrada J. 1. Gudino R. (G) 204. Marquez S. 2. Martinez E. 5. Mayorga A. 30. Monreal R. 181. Perez E. (G) 7. Rosero K.
Coaches
Schmetzer B.	Fentanes E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Vargas O. ⚽, Roldan C. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Palavecino A. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
34', de La Vega P. ↓, Rothrock P. ↑,
44', 1 - 2, Cambindo D. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Musovski D. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
46', Leyva D. ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
60', Sandoval R. ↓, Mayorga A. ↑,
60', Gomez D. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
62', Roldan A. ↓, Chu L. ↑,
62', Baker-Whiting R. ↓, Nouhou ↑,
63', Palavecino A. 🟨,
71', Garnica B. 🟨,
79', Cambindo D. ↓, Badaloni T. ↑,
89', Palavecino A. ↓, Andrade A. ↑,
89', Paradela J. ↓, Rosero K. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 3, Rosero K. ⚽,

Preview

Seattle is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Necaxa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Necaxa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Seattle is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Seattle to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Sounders FC
CONCACAF League Cup
26.07.24	Seattle Sounders - Minnesota United	2:0 ✺
MLS
20.07.24	Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles	0:3 ✺
17.07.24	Seattle Sounders - St. Louis City	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Austin FC - Seattle Sounders	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
09.07.24	Sacramento Republic - Seattle Sounders	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWWW
- Club Necaxa
CONCACAF League Cup
30.07.24	Minnesota United - Necaxa	1:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
21.07.24	Club León - Necaxa	1:1 ✺
17.07.24	Necaxa - Monterrey	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Necaxa - Puebla	4:1 ✺
06.07.24	Tigres UANL - Necaxa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLWL

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