Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Ibn Batouta (Tanger) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	21:30	Meraj Sport, Tolo TV
Africa	—	AfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 4, New World Sport 5, New World Sport 6, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Algeria	18:00	ENTV
Andorra	18:00	beIN Sports 1
Angola	18:00	TPA 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Benin	18:00	Benin TV
Brazil	14:00	Band Play, BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 2
Burkina Faso	17:00	RTB
Cameroon	18:00	Canal 2 International
Canada	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	01:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Win play, Win Sports
Cote D Ivoire	17:00	NCI, RTI 3
Croatia	18:00	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	19:00	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Equatorial Guinea	18:00	TVGE Internacional
Finland	19:00	Veikkaus TV
France	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Gabon	18:00	Groupe Gabon Televisions
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	19:00	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Guinea	17:00	RTG
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 3
India	22:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	19:00	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	18:00	Sportitalia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	23:00	Sport+
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 4
Laos	00:00	beIN Connect
Madagascar	20:00	MATV
Malaysia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mali	17:00	ORTM
Mauritius	21:00	MBC 11
Mexico	11:00	Claro Sports, FOX One, Fox Sports
Morocco	18:00	Al Aoula, Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
Mozambique	19:00	TV Miramar
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:00	NTA Sports, SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	18:00	VG+
Philippines	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV7
Republic Of The Congo	—	Tele Congo
Russia	20:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 4, Arena Premium 5
Singapore	01:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	18:00	SportKlub 3
South Africa	19:00	SABC 2, SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL
Spain	18:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Suriname	14:00	QN Sports, SCCN
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Togo	17:00	TVT
Turkey	20:00	Exxen
Uganda	20:00	UBC TV
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	Channel 4, E4
Usa	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	13:00	Inter
Zambia	19:00	ZNBC 1


	Senegal		Egypt

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.5	Watch
	2.08	2.95	4.25	Watch
	2.07	3.06	4.54	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.8
	2.15	3.09	4.43	Watch
	2.05	2.9	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.18)	2.98 ↓ (3.33)	4.31 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senegal
45.9%

Draw
31.9%

Egypt
22.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senegal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Egypt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Egypt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Senegal than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egypt than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Egypt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	28.1%	21.9%

Senegal - Egypt Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Senegal will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%). Egypt will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Senegal: 26.7% – 62.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Senegal (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Senegal will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Senegal (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Senegal won 4.

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

In this match, Senegal is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Senegal: Camara I. (Muscle Injury) Diao A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Egypt: Hamdi M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Senegal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Senegal
Africa Cup of Nations
09.01.26	Mali - Senegal	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Senegal - Sudan	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Benin - Senegal	0:3 ✺
27.12.25	Senegal - D.R. Congo	1:1 ✺
23.12.25	Senegal - Botswana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWTW
- Egypt
Africa Cup of Nations
10.01.26	Egypt - Ivory Coast	3:2 ✺
05.01.26	Egypt - Benin	3:1 ET ✺
29.12.25	Angola - Egypt	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Egypt - South Africa	1:0 ✺
22.12.25	Egypt - Zimbabwe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
29.03.22	Senegal - Egypt	2:0 penalties
25.03.22	Egypt - Senegal	1:0
Africa Cup of Nations
06.02.22	Senegal - Egypt	1:0 penalties
15.11.14	Egypt - Senegal	0:1
05.09.14	Senegal - Egypt	2:0
Friendly
25.05.12	Egypt - Senegal	N/A

Senegal - Egypt