Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma		Gwangju

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.14	3.1	3.4
	2.26	3.1	3.2
	2.39	3.15	3.42
	2.25	2.9	3.4
	2.35	3.06	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.12)	3.06 ↓ (3.07)	3.38 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
41.7%

Draw
30.6%

Gwangju
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

20.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gwangju could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gwangju Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Seongnam will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Seongnam won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Seongnam won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 1
07.11.21	FC Seoul - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:0 ✺
03.11.21	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Incheon United	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Ulsan HD	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Jeju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTWWL
- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
07.11.21	Pohang Steelers - Gwangju	1:2 ✺
03.11.21	Gwangju - FC Seoul	3:4 ✺
31.10.21	Gwangju - Gangwon	2:2 ✺
24.10.21	Suwon - Gwangju	1:3 ✺
17.10.21	Gangwon - Gwangju	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
24.08.21	Gwangju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:0
01.08.21	Gwangju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0
10.04.21	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gwangju	2:0
20.09.20	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gwangju	0:2
09.05.20	Gwangju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:2
South Korean K-League 2
13.10.18	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gwangju	2:2
28.07.18	Gwangju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:1

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