Match Info

efbet League - Round 6

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia)

Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Septemvri Sofia		CSKA 1948 Sofia

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.70	1.61	Watch
	5.50	3.90	1.53
	5.7	3.85	1.49
	5.98	4.12	1.58
	5.7	3.98	1.57	Watch
	5.75	4.05	1.54
	5.81	3.9	1.55	Watch
	5.6	3.85	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↓ (6.03)	3.92 ↓ (3.93)	1.55 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Septemvri Sofia
16.4%

Draw
23.7%

CSKA 1948 Sofia
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

23.4%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

22.9%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

CSKA 1948 Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Septemvri Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: CSKA 1948 Sofia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ivanov Vladimir (G) 6. Ferreira P. 4. Hristov M. 13. Onasci K. 3. Wade S. 5. Baurenski Y. 8. Penchev B. 11. Dzhamov A. 33. Ivanov G. 29. Herard F. 27. Liberal A.	31. Bozhev A. (G) 2. Medina D. 4. Hoffmann A. 5. Benamar B. 15. Soltani F. 8. Zemzemi M. 33. Cuellar H. 67. Frederic 30. Meyer J. 11. Rusev G. 9. Iliev A.
Substitutes
24. Atanasov Z. A. 30. Dobrev V. 17. Fontaine N. 15. Gospodinov P. 21. Krastev N. (G) 16. Mihaylov V. 26. Ozornwafor V. 19. Pedro Igor 7. Ribeiro E. 28. Stoichkov S. 20. Tomovski B.	93. Diallo M. 18. Dimitrov B. 77. Franco E. 96. Grivic D. 23. Krebs F. 13. Sheytanov D. (G) 20. Sobrero B. 14. Strinski K. 71. Tarasenko D. 10. Tsonev B. 34. Vitanov P.
Coaches
Freitas S.	Aleksandrov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Cuellar H. 🟨,
37', Penchev B. 🟨,
45+1', Ivanov G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cuellar H. ↓, Sobrero B. ↑,
46', Iliev A. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
51', Sobrero B. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
52', Wade S. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Herard F. ⚽,
63', Dzhamov A. ↓, Ribeiro E. ↑,
63', Liberal A. ↓, Pedro Igor ↑,
67', Meyer J. ↓, Krebs F. ↑,
72', Zemzemi M. ↓, Vitanov P. ↑,
75', Baurenski Y. ↓, Stoichkov S. ↑,
80', Ivanov G. ↓, Ozornwafor V. ↑,
81', Ferreira P. 🟨,
90+1', Onasci K. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 0.

Septemvri Sofia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

CSKA 1948 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

CSKA 1948 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, CSKA 1948 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:20. (average 0.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

CSKA 1948 Sofia: 3.27% Septemvri Sofia: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	CSKA 1948 Sofia	10	7	1	2	19:10	9	22
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8:18	-10	8

Last Results with these Odds

CSKA 1948 Sofia - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.3%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.08.26	Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Septemvri Sofia - CSKA Sofia	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Levski Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLLT
- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.08.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Cherno More Varna	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.08.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Panathinaikos	1:2 AET ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.26	Panathinaikos - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
31.07.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.12.25	Septemvri Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:4
01.08.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	2:1
11.05.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	2:0
03.12.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	2:0
25.09.24	Septemvri Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1
14.04.23	Septemvri Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:3
16.09.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	1:0

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