Match Info
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 1Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday
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Serpa |
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Setúbal |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.90 |
3.40 |
1.75 |
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 |
4.00 |
3.30 |
1.75 |
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 |
3.70 |
3.88 |
1.71 |
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 |
3.79 |
3.92 |
1.74 |
Watch |
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4.12 |
3.19 |
1.90 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.9 ↑ (2.78) |
3.54 ↑ (2.98) |
1.77 ↓ (2.42) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Serpa 23.2% | Draw 25.6% | Setúbal 51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serpa's form might have worsened.Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Setúbal's recent form is better than expected. 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 21', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 66', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 73', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 88', 4 - 2, ⚽,
- 89', 🟥,
Preview
Setúbal could have a small edge in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).Including home match between the teams, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Serpa | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
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| 9 | Vitoria Setubal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;