Match Info

Date: 7 March 2020, Saturday


	Setúbal		Benfica

	1	X	2
	8	4.5	1.4	Watch
	8.5	4.6	1.36
	9	4.5	1.36
	8.01	4.58	1.36
	9.16	4.88	1.37
	9	4.75	1.35	Watch
	8.6	5	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.61 ↓ (8.8)	4.69 ↑ (4.53)	1.37 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
10.9%

Draw
20.1%

Benfica
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.7%

20.8%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.4%

18.3%

77.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.1%	5.1%	89.7%

Setúbal - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.22% – 99.26%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Liga Portugal
28.02.20	Portimonense - Setúbal	0:0 ✺
23.02.20	Braga - Setúbal	3:1 ✺
14.02.20	Setúbal - Gil Vicente	1:2 ✺
09.02.20	Moreirense - Setúbal	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Setúbal - Porto	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLTL
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
02.03.20	Benfica - Moreirense	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.02.20	Benfica - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
24.02.20	Gil Vicente - Benfica	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Benfica	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
15.02.20	Benfica - Braga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
21.12.19	Setúbal - Benfica	2:2
Liga Portugal
28.09.19	Benfica - Setúbal	1:0
14.04.19	Benfica - Setúbal	4:2
08.12.18	Setúbal - Benfica	0:1
Club Friendly
13.07.18	Setúbal - Benfica	1:1
Liga Portugal
07.04.18	Setúbal - Benfica	1:2
Portuguese League Cup
29.12.17	Setúbal - Benfica	2:2

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