Match Info

Date: 27 February 2020, Thursday


	Benfica		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	4
	1.91	3.75	3.8
	1.95	3.85	3.75
	1.92	3.8	3.7
	1.94	3.82	3.84
	1.91	3.75	3.7
	1.99	3.84	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)	3.79 ↑ (3.77)	3.81 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
49.7%

Draw
25.2%

Shakhtar Donetsk
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

14.2%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shakhtar Donetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	5.3%	17.3%

Benfica - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 58 - 77.3%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 13 - 17.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 67.8% – 86.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
24.02.20	Gil Vicente - Benfica	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Benfica	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
15.02.20	Benfica - Braga	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.02.20	Famalicão - Benfica	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.02.20	Porto - Benfica	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLTL
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
23.02.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Benfica	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.02.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Ventspils	1:0 ✺
08.02.20	Olimpija Ljubljana - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:3 ✺
05.02.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - SønderjyskE	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Benfica	2:1
Club Friendly
31.07.14	Shakhtar Donetsk - Benfica	Canceled
13.07.14	Shakhtar Donetsk - Benfica	Canceled

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