Match Info

LaLiga - Round 38

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, SCTV
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online


	Celta de Vigo		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.98	3.45	3.95	Watch
	2.01	3.48	4.14
	1.98	3.48	3.91	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.9
	2.02	3.57	4.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.89)	3.46 ↓ (3.74)	4 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
48.4%

Draw
27.7%

Sevilla
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

25.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.1%	16.1%	25.8%

Celta de Vigo - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). Sevilla will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 40.7% – 75.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Sevilla (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sevilla (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 29. Lago Y. 20. Alonso M. 17. Rueda J. 8. Lopez F. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 10. Aspas I. (C) 7. Iglesias B. 19. Swedberg W.	13. Nyland O. (G) 2. Carmona J. A. 3. Azpilicueta C. (C) 4. Salas K. 12. Suazo G. 14. Peque 18. Agoume L. 20. Sow D. 10. Sanchez A. 7. Romero I. 36. Oso
Substitutes
4. Aidoo J. 23. Alvarez H. 11. Cervi F. 18. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 9. Jutgla F. 3. Mingueza O. 14. Nunez A. 21. Ristic M. 22. Sotelo H. 15. Vecino M. 1. Villar I. (G)	9. Adams A. 15. Cardoso F. 21. Ejuke C. 31. Flores A. (G) 22. Gattoni F. 6. Gudelj N. 38. Guilen N. 8. Joan Jordan 17. Maupay N. 5. Nianzou T. 11. Vargas R. 1. Vlachodimos O. (G)
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Moriba I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Moriba I. ⚽, Lopez F. (A),
64', Peque ↓, Vargas R. ↑,
64', Sanchez A. ↓, Maupay N. ↑,
64', Romero I. ↓, Adams A. ↑,
65', Swedberg W. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
66', Aspas I. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
74', Lopez F. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
74', Iglesias B. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
77', Oso ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
86', Agoume L. ↓, Gudelj N. ↑,
90+3', Rueda J. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Celta is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Roman M. (Foot Injury) Starfelt C. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Bueno M. (Knee Injury) Marcao (Foot Injury) Sanchez J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Castrin (Inactive) Januzaj A. (Illness) Mendy B. (Leg Injury) Nianzou T. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Sevilla: 0.42% Celta Vigo: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10:9	1	13
15	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8:6	2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Celta de Vigo - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 50.31%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
17.05.26	Athletic Bilbao - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
12.05.26	Celta de Vigo - Levante	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Celta de Vigo - Elche	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLWWL
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
17.05.26	Sevilla - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
13.05.26	Villarreal - Sevilla	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Sevilla - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Osasuna - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
12.01.26	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	0:1
10.05.25	Celta de Vigo - Sevilla	3:2
14.12.24	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	1:0
17.03.24	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	1:2
04.11.23	Celta de Vigo - Sevilla	1:1
07.04.23	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	2:2
30.12.22	Celta de Vigo - Sevilla	1:1

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