Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Golf
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Arsenal		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	9.5
	1.3	5.5	10
	1.28	5.85	11.5	Watch
	1.3	5.88	11
	1.3	5.88	10.83
	1.25	5.8	10
	1.33	6.15	11.25
	1.28	6.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)	5.85 ↑ (5.45)	10.64 ↑ (8.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Univision

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
74.5%

Draw
16.5%

Sevilla
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

17.5%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

17.2%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.1%	7.5%	7.5%

Arsenal - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (57 of 67 users predict this - 85.07%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.54% – 93.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 18. Tomiyasu T. 29. Havertz K. 20. Jorginho (C) 41. Rice D. 7. Saka B. 19. Trossard L. 11. Martinelli G.	1. Dmitrovic M. (G) 26. Sanchez J. 22. Bade L. 6. Gudelj N. 27. Salas K. 8. Jordan J. 20. Fernando (C) 17. Lamela E. 18. Sow D. 3. Pedrosa A. 15. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
17. Cedric 45. Cozier-Duberry A. 25. Elneny M. 31. Hein K. (G) 15. Kiwior J. 24. Nelson R. 1. Ramsdale A. (G) 71. Sagoe Jr C. 21. Vieira F. 35. Zinchenko O.	12. Diaz M. 31. Flores A. (G) 2. Gattoni F. 11. Lukebakio D. 9. Mir R. 16. Navas J. 14. Nianzou T. 5. Ocampos L. 10. Rakitic I. 24. Soumare B. 7. Suso 21. Torres O.
Coaches
Arteta M.	Alonso D.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.

In this match Arsenal is certain favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Muscle Injury) Partey T. (Muscle Injury) Smith Rowe E. (Knee Injury) Timber J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Nyland O. (Groin Injury) Vacas A. P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Odegaard M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Acuna M. (Injury) Marcao (Injury) Ramos S. (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
04.11.23	Newcastle United - Arsenal	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
01.11.23	West Ham United - Arsenal	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
28.10.23	Arsenal - Sheffield United	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Sevilla - Arsenal	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
21.10.23	Chelsea - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWT
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
04.11.23	Celta de Vigo - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Quintanar de la Orden - Sevilla	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.10.23	Cádiz - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Sevilla - Arsenal	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
21.10.23	Sevilla - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Sevilla - Arsenal	1:2
Emirates Cup
30.07.22	Arsenal - Sevilla	6:0
30.07.17	Arsenal - Sevilla	1:2

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