Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: Premier League - Round 7

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Shakhter Stadion (Karaganda)

Referee: Abdullaev B. (Kaz)


	Shakhter Karagandy		Kaisar

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.45	3.2	2.8
	2.49	2.88	2.76
	2.52	3.14	2.87	Watch
	2.41	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.4)	3.05 ↓ (3.17)	2.81 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhter Karagandy
37.5%

Draw
29.9%

Kaisar
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Kaisar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Tsuprikov E. (G) 2. Alishauskas E. 5. Stamenkovic F. 4. Ryzhuk D. 44. Tyulyubay A. 8. Nazymkhanov A. 88. Canas R. 20. Bachek D. 6. Cukovic M. 17. Flyuk S. 10. Ashortia I.	88. Sicaci S. (G) 5. Kenesbek A. 44. Pajovic J. 6. Yudenkov R. 17. Kalmuratov K. 10. Narzildaev D. 20. Milojko G. 9. Borodin D. 7. Altynbekov E. 29. Makhan O. 55. Gromyko V.
Substitutes
11. Abdulla A. 30. Bougnone A. 21. Galkin M. 68. Migunov A. 1. Mostovei I. (G) 15. Savkiv B. 29. Takhanov D. 9. Tattybaev A. 3. Tolordava A. 23. Tutkyshev R. 22. Zakharenko G. 27. Zubaydilda S.	25. Kobuladze G. 30. Norbekov S. 18. Pryndeta V. 13. Sakhalbaev R. 34. Salaydin N. (G) 77. Sovpel V. 79. Torekul E. 19. Zhaksylykov A. 73. Zhalmukan D. 12. Zhangylyshbay T.
Coaches
Finonchenko A.	Kumykov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Nazymkhanov A. 🟨,
30', Altynbekov E. 🟨,
38', Alishauskas E. 🟨,
38', Narzildaev D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bachek D. ↓, Abdulla A. ↑,
55', Makhan O. ↓, Norbekov S. ↑,
55', Altynbekov E. ↓, Zhaksylykov A. ↑,
62', Alishauskas E. ↓, Savkiv B. ↑,
62', Flyuk S. ↓, Tattybaev A. ↑,
62', Nazymkhanov A. ↓, Bougnone A. ↑,
67', Bougnone A. 🟨,
89', Gromyko V. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
89', Ashortia I. ↓, Takhanov D. ↑,
90+1', Norbekov S. 🟨,
90+4', Narzildaev D. ↓, Sovpel V. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shakhter Karagandy won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Kaisar have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Shakhter Karagandy won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Shakhter Karagandy won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh Premier League
21.04.24	Zhetysu - Shakhter Karagandy	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
14.04.24	Yelimay Semey - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
07.04.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Zhenis - Shakhter Karagandy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLL
- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Premier League
27.04.24	Kaisar - Kairat	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Kaisar - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.04.24	Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay	0:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
06.04.24	Yelimay Semey - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
06.03.24	Kaisar - Kyzylzhar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
17.09.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaisar	2:2
08.04.23	Kaisar - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1
19.09.21	Kaisar - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2
03.05.21	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaisar	1:1
22.10.20	Kaisar - Shakhter Karagandy	2:0
19.08.20	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaisar	0:1
18.08.19	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaisar	3:0

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