Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: Premier League - Round 8

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Semey)

Referee: Sakhi D. (Kaz)


	Yelimay Semey		Shakhter Karagandy

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.6	6
	1.52	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.49	3.71	6.12
	1.47	4.03	7.34	Watch
	1.49	3.75	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)	3.77 ↓ (4.13)	6.51 ↑ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay Semey
61.5%

Draw
24.4%

Shakhter Karagandy
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.8%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

21.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Kavlinov D. (G) 19. Gabyshev M. 80. Sorokin E. 63. Saravanja I. 5. Keiler S. 23. Maicom D. 81. Korzun N. 7. Murtazaev R. 10. Nurgaliyev E. 20. China 29. Tambe R.	40. Tsuprikov E. (G) 44. Tyulyubay A. 3. Tolordava A. 4. Ryzhuk D. 5. Stamenkovic F. 2. Alishauskas E. 30. Bougnone A. 88. Canas R. 6. Cukovic M. 11. Abdulla A. 8. Nazymkhanov A.
Substitutes
99. Aimanov A. 17. Aytbaev B. 92. Cornette Q. 41. Lobantsev M. (G) 1. Mavlikeev R. (G) 22. Pairuz Z. 8. Pertsukh Y. 77. Shomko D. 11. Sviridov I. 9. Thioub S. 88. Yashin D. 35. Zolotov N.	18. Altynkhan A. 10. Ashortia I. 80. Asprilla J. 20. Bachek D. 17. Flyuk S. 1. Mostovei I. (G) 15. Savkiv B. 29. Takhanov D. 23. Tutkyshev R. 22. Zakharenko G. 27. Zubaydilda S.
Coaches
Karpovich A.	Finonchenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Tolordava A. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Murtazaev R. ⚽,
39', Tyulyubay A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Bougnone A. ↓, Asprilla J. ↑,
55', Kavlinov D. ↓, Lobantsev M. ↑,
65', Tyulyubay A. ↓, Ashortia I. ↑,
65', Abdulla A. ↓, Flyuk S. ↑,
74', Stamenkovic F. 🟨,
75', Tambe R. ↓, Sviridov I. ↑,
75', Murtazaev R. ↓, Thioub S. ↑,
75', Nurgaliyev E. ↓, Pertsukh Y. ↑,
77', Alishauskas E. ↓, Savkiv B. ↑,
81', Cukovic M. ↓, Takhanov D. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Nazymkhanov A. ⚽,
89', Keiler S. ↓, Shomko D. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 1, Korzun N. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division).

Yelimay Semey in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shakhter Karagandy is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shakhter Karagandy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Yelimay Semey have a series of home games.

In this match Yelimay Semey is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Yelimay Semey to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Yelimay Semey won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Yelimay Semey won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Cup
08.05.24	Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
04.05.24	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	1:2 ✺
28.04.24	Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
14.04.24	Yelimay Semey - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
06.04.24	Yelimay Semey - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWTWW
- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh Premier League
05.05.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaisar	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Zhetysu - Shakhter Karagandy	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
14.04.24	Yelimay Semey - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
07.04.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
14.04.24	Yelimay Semey - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1

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