The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shakhter Karagandy 21.1%
Draw 26.1%
Tobol Kostanay 52.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.1%
27.1%
49.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
26.3%
51.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Shakhter Karagandy - Tobol Kostanay Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Tsuprikov E. (G) 3. Tolordava A. 44. Tyulyubay A. 5. Stamenkovic F. 4. Ryzhuk D. 6. Cukovic M. 15. Savkiv B. 88. Canas R. 8. Nazymkhanov A. 10. Ashortia I. 11. Abdulla A.
1. Pokatilov S. (G) 16. Tapalov E. 15. Gabaraev A. 66. Domgjoni D. 3. Asrankulov R. 6. Essien E. 28. Skakhov Y. 10. Ivanovic I. 8. El Messaoudi A. 19. Valiullin R. 90. Cooper G.
Substitutes
2. Alishauskas E. 18. Altynkhan A. 80. Asprilla J. 20. Bachek D. 30. Bougnone A. 95. Karpikov D. (G) 68. Migunov A. 1. Mostovei I. (G) 29. Takhanov D. 23. Tutkyshev R. 22. Zakharenko G. 27. Zubaydilda S.
38. Bakitzhanov A. 25. Bozhko R. 12. Busurmanov S. (G) 51. Galym B. 35. Melikhov Y. (G) 21. Tsonev R. 26. Zhumadelov N. 7. Zhumashev Z.
Coaches
Finonchenko A.
Curcic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Domgjoni D. 🟨,
32', Tolordava A. 🟨,
33', Cooper G. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Canas R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cooper G. ↓, Galym B. ↑,
46', Asrankulov R. ↓, Zhumashev Z. ↑,
61', Cukovic M. ↓, Alishauskas E. ↑,
61', Abdulla A. ↓, Asprilla J. ↑,
68', Tyulyubay A. ↓, Bougnone A. ↑,
79', Skakhov Y. ↓, Tsonev R. ↑,
89', Nazymkhanov A. ↓, Tutkyshev R. ↑,
89', Ashortia I. ↓, Zakharenko G. ↑,
89', Valiullin R. ↓, Zhumadelov N. ↑,
89', Zhumashev Z. ↓, Bakitzhanov A. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division and 6).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shakhter Karagandy won 2.
Shakhter Karagandy is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Tobol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Tobol is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Shakhter Karagandy won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 25-29.
Including matches at home between the teams Shakhter Karagandy won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-12.
Watch
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Tsuprikov E. (G) 
Tolordava A. 
Stamenkovic F. 
Ryzhuk D. 
Cukovic M. 
Canas R. 
Gabaraev A. 
Domgjoni D. 
Essien E. 
El Messaoudi A. 
Cooper G. 
Bougnone A. 
Mostovei I. (G) 
Tsonev R. 
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