Match Info

Premier League - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Shamakhi City Stadium (Shamakhi)

Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Shamakhi		Səbail

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.17	3.1	3.15	Watch
	2.36	3.15	3.25
	2.26	2.94	3.26	Watch
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.29	3.02	3.33	Watch
	2.17	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.09)	3.06 ↓ (3.18)	3.26 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shamakhi
41.7%

Draw
30.1%

Səbail
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Shamakhi - Səbail Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ricardo Fernandes (G) 82. Abbasov R. 24. Adilkhanov E. 5. Agcabayov A. 18. Huseynov C. 93. Konate B. 20. Mickels L. (C) 33. Msanga A. 6. Rustamli R. 30. Tircoveanu A. 3. Veremeev V.	12. Mustabazada A. (G) 11. Abdullazada R. 14. Allouch S. 20. Celik M. 10. Gomis D. 97. Mammadov O. 96. Muradov I. 74. Nabiyev Y. (C) 4. Nikolic M. 99. Nshuti I. 83. Quliyev N.
Substitutes
60. Bagirov S. 66. Bakic V. 85. Bayramov K. (G) 19. Mammadli F. 14. Masimov V. 12. Michael Thuique 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 23. Velijev M.	22. Abbasov M. 19. Abdullayev S. 18. Ahmadov S. 44. Bilali A. 7. Maddi 25. Mammadzada N. (G) 77. Nabiyev F. 1. Quliyev H. (G) 89. Qurbanov O. 16. Rustamov E. 5. Sofir G.
Coaches
Abbasov A.	Huseynov C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Tircoveanu A. 🟨,
22', Veremeev V. 🟨,
29', Adilkhanov E. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Msanga A. ⚽, Mickels L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Tircoveanu A. ↓, Michael Thuique ↑,
58', Nikolic M. ↓, Maddi ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Abdullazada R. (Pen),
72', Nshuti I. ↓, Abbasov M. ↑,
73', Mammadov O. ↓, Sofir G. ↑,
73', Abdullazada R. ↓, Nabiyev F. ↑,
81', Mickels L. ↓, Mammadli F. ↑,
86', Gomis D. ↓, Abdullayev S. ↑,
90', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Bagirov S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 1.

In recent matches, Shamakhi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Səbail is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Səbail may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shamakhi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
25.04.25	Turan Tovuz - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Shamakhi - Kapaz	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Shamakhi - Neftchi Baku	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Zira - Shamakhi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWLL
- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.04.25	Səbail - Araz Naxçıvan	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Sabah - Səbail	3:2 ✺
11.04.25	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Səbail - Turan Tovuz	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Kapaz - Səbail	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
03.03.25	Səbail - Shamakhi	0:2
14.12.24	Shamakhi - Səbail	0:0
05.10.24	Səbail - Shamakhi	2:0
Azerbaijan Cup
20.12.23	Səbail - Shamakhi	6:0
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.05.23	Səbail - Shamakhi	1:0
26.01.23	Shamakhi - Səbail	2:1
23.10.22	Səbail - Shamakhi	0:0

Upcoming Matches