The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagoya Grampus 41%
Draw 28.3%
Tokyo 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
27.5%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
29.1%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
The ML Model estimate for Nagoya Grampus aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
8.3%
33.3%
Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tokyo will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 30.4% โ 86.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tokyo (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Nagoya (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
DNB - Nagoya (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tokyo (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Pisano A. (G) 17. Uchida T. 3. Sato Y. 13. Fujii H. 44. Mori S. 15. Inagaki S. 14. Morishima T. 27. Nakayama K. 7. Izumi R. 11. Yamagishi Y. 18. Nagai K.
81. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 7. Anzai S. 24. Scholz A. 3. Morishige M. 6. Bangnagande K. 28. Nozawa L. 10. Higashi K. 27. Tokiwa K. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 26. Nagakura M. 14. Yamashita K.
Substitutes
9. Asano Y. 26. Kato G. 22. Kimura Y. 20. Mikuni K. 2. Nogami Y. 41. Ono M. 30. Sugiura S. 32. Suzuki H. 16. Takeda Y. (G)
32. Doi K. 22. Endo K. 13. Hatano G. (G) 44. Henrique Trevisan 77. Kitahara M. 19. Marcelo Ryan 40. Marcos Guilherme 30. Oka T. 16. Sato K.
Coaches
Hasegawa K.
Matsuhashi R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Yamashita K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
56', Yamashita K. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
64', Izumi R. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Sato Y. ⚽, Yamagishi Y. (A),
73', Nagai K. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
73', Mori S. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
74', Nozawa L. ↓, Endo K. ↑,
74', Nagakura M. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
77', Higashi K. ↓, Doi K. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Endo K. ⚽,
90+1', Marcos Guilherme 🟨,
90+2', Endo K. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 15)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
Nagoya is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tokyo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K.
(Red Card)
Kikuchi T.
(Knee Injury)
Mateus
(Ankle Injury)
Schmidt D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Hashimoto K.
(Yellow Cards)
Koizumi K.
(Yellow Cards)
Nagatomo Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Ogashiwa T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Shirai K.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Nagoya Grampus - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.83%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Tokyo - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.64%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Pisano A. (G) 
Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 
Scholz A. 
Henrique Trevisan 
