Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Bramall Lane (Sheffield)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Belgium	VOOsport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Premier League
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Malaysia	Astro
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports


	Sheffield United		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.62
	5	4.1	1.63
	5.35	4.15	1.65	Watch
	5.09	4.3	1.65
	5.26	4.27	1.65
	5	4.2	1.57
	5.23	4.41	1.67	Watch
	5.1	4.35	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↓ (5.59)	4.25 ↓ (4.47)	1.63 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield United
18.6%

Draw
22.6%

Aston Villa
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

21.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

20.9%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.8%	7.3%	70.9%

Sheffield United - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Sheff Utd will win (votes: 12 - 21.8%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 39 - 70.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 58.9% – 82.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Foderingham W. (G) 20. Bogle J. 30. Holgate M. 15. Ahmedhodzic A. (C) 5. Trusty A. 33. Norrington-Davies R. 28. McAtee J. 21. Vini Souza 35. Brooks A. 11. Brereton Diaz B. 32. Osula W.	1. Martinez E. (G) 4. Konsa E. 3. Diego Carlos 17. Lenglet C. 15. Moreno A. 6. Douglas Luiz 44. Kamara B. 31. Bailey L. 7. McGinn J. (C) 8. Tielemans Y. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
37. Amissah J. (G) 10. Archer C. 22. Davies T. 8. Hamer G. 27. Larouci Y. 16. Norwood O. 26. One R. 23. Osborn B. 19. Robinson J.	2. Cash M. 16. Chambers C. 19. Diaby M. 47. Iroegbunam T. 29. Kesler Hayden K. 25. Olsen R. (G) 41. Ramsey J. 27. Rogers M. 64. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Wilder C.	Emery U.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sheff Utd won 2.

Sheff Utd is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aston Villa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sheff Utd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Baldock G. (Injury) Basham C. (Ankle Injury) Brewster R. (Red Card) Egan J. (Ankle Injury) Jebbison D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Buendia E. (Knee Injury) Duran J. (Injury) Gauci J. (International duty) Mings T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sheff Utd: Davies T. (Injury) Grbic I. (Head Injury) Lowe M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Digne L. (Thigh Injury) Torres P. (Ankle Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sheff Utd won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sheff Utd won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield United
English Premier League
30.01.24	Crystal Palace - Sheffield United	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
27.01.24	Sheffield United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:5 ✺
English Premier League
21.01.24	Sheffield United - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Gillingham - Sheffield United	0:4 ✺
English Premier League
30.12.23	Manchester City - Sheffield United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWL
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
30.01.24	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
26.01.24	Chelsea - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
14.01.24	Everton - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Middlesbrough - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
30.12.23	Aston Villa - Burnley	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
22.12.23	Aston Villa - Sheffield United	1:1
03.03.21	Sheffield United - Aston Villa	1:0
21.09.20	Aston Villa - Sheffield United	1:0
17.06.20	Aston Villa - Sheffield United	0:0
14.12.19	Sheffield United - Aston Villa	2:0
English League Championship
08.02.19	Aston Villa - Sheffield United	3:3
01.09.18	Sheffield United - Aston Villa	4:1

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