Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports Max
Malaysia	Astro
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Middlesbrough		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.33	1.53	Watch
	5.75	4.5	1.52
	6	4.5	1.53	Watch
	5.82	4.65	1.54
	5.82	4.65	1.53
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	5.7	4.55	1.53	Watch
	5.6	4.4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.71 ↑ (5.03)	4.47 ↑ (4.11)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
16.6%

Draw
21.2%

Aston Villa
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

22.8%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

23.3%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	45.5%	45.5%

Middlesbrough - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Glover T. (G) 27. Engel L. 5. Clarke M. 3. van den Berg R. 24. Bangura A. 7. Hackney H. (C) 4. Barlaser D. 11. Jones I. 10. Rogers M. 29. Greenwood S. 19. Coburn J.	1. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 17. Lenglet C. 15. Moreno A. 31. Bailey L. 32. Dendoncker L. 44. Kamara B. 41. Ramsey J. 7. McGinn J. (C) 24. Duran J.
Substitutes
52. Bridge A. 22. Coulson H. 25. Crooks M. 6. Fry D. 14. Gilbert A. 16. Howson J. 32. Jones J. (G) 9. Latte Lath E. 49. McCabe L.	19. Diaby M. 3. Diego Carlos 6. Douglas Luiz 47. Iroegbunam T. 42. Marschall F. (G) 78. Proctor S. (G) 11. Watkins O. 22. Zaniolo N.
Coaches
Carrick M.	Emery U.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Middlesbrough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
01.01.24	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	1:3 ✺
29.12.23	Huddersfield Town - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
26.12.23	Rotherham United - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
19.12.23	Port Vale - Middlesbrough	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
30.12.23	Aston Villa - Burnley	3:2 ✺
26.12.23	Manchester United - Aston Villa	3:2 ✺
22.12.23	Aston Villa - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Brentford - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.12.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
16.03.19	Aston Villa - Middlesbrough	3:0
01.12.18	Middlesbrough - Aston Villa	0:3
15.05.18	Aston Villa - Middlesbrough	0:0
12.05.18	Middlesbrough - Aston Villa	0:1
30.12.17	Middlesbrough - Aston Villa	0:1
English League Cup
19.09.17	Aston Villa - Middlesbrough	0:2
English League Championship
12.09.17	Aston Villa - Middlesbrough	0:0

Upcoming Matches