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Current Win Probability
Stoke City 41.3%
Draw 28.5%
Sheffield United 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
27.3%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
27.1%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stoke City's performance.
Sheffield United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sheffield United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stoke City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sheffield United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Stoke City - Sheffield United Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Sheff Utd will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 47.7% – 95.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Johansson V. (C) 16. Wilmot B. 40. Talovierov M. 5. Graham L. 2. Johnson B. 27. Soumare D. 8. Galbraith E. 17. Bocat E. 7. McGlynn J. 11. Cisse L. 13. Devenny J.
1. Cooper M. (G) 8. Choudhury H. 5. Tanganga J. (C) 15. Kitching L. 30. Norrington-Davies R. 33. Baptiste J. 42. Peck S. 4. Arblaster O. 27. Phillips K. 45. Bamford P. 22. Brereton Diaz B.
Substitutes
21. Bombino L. 20. Gallagher S. 23. Gibson B. 24. Griffiths J. (G) 15. Hirst G. 42. Manhoef M. 4. Pearson B. 19. Rigo T. 22. Tchamadeu J.
10. Ayew J. 9. Cannon T. 19. Chong T. 17. Davies A. (G) 2. Doherty M. 11. Donovan R. 25. McGuinness M. 7. Rothwell J. 16. Shackleton J.
Coaches
Robins M.
Wilder C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Phillips K. 🟨,
32', Devenny J. 🟨,
43', Talovierov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Phillips K. ⚽,
54', Arblaster O. 🟨,
63', Galbraith E. 🟨,
63', Bocat E. 🟨,
63', Kitching L. 🟨,
64', Cisse L. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
64', Soumare D. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
65', Talovierov M. ↓, Tchamadeu J. ↑,
67', Arblaster O. ↓, Cannon T. ↑,
69', Norrington-Davies R. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, McGlynn J. ⚽, Tchamadeu J. (A),
80', Choudhury H. ↓, Shackleton J. ↑,
80', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Chong T. ↑,
80', Bamford P. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
80', Bocat E. ↓, Bombino L. ↑,
80', Devenny J. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Gallagher S. ⚽, Galbraith E. (A),
88', Baptiste J. ↓, Donovan R. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 13th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 0.
Stoke is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Sheff Utd have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sheff Utd may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Stoke: Cresswell A.
(Knee Injury)
Ingelsson S.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Sheff Utd: Burrows H.
(Inactive)
Chong T.
(Injury)
One R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Seriki F.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Stoke: Gallagher S.
(Injury)
Lawal B.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Sheff Utd: McCallum S.
(Inactive).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Stoke has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:21 (averaging 1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stoke against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:7 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).
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Johansson V. (C) 
Wilmot B. 
Talovierov M. 
Graham L. 
Soumare D. 
Galbraith E. 
Bocat E. 
McGlynn J. 
Choudhury H. 
Norrington-Davies R. 
Brereton Diaz B. 
Manhoef M. 
Rigo T. 
Tchamadeu J. 
Ayew J. 
Cannon T. 
Chong T. 
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