Match Info

Championship - Round 17

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Bramall Lane (Sheffield)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Sheffield United		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.94	4.91	Watch
	1.69	3.96	5.23
	1.90	3.47	4.09	Watch
	1.7	3.68	4.85	Watch
	1.66	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.9)	3.83 ↑ (3.47)	4.89 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield United
55.7%

Draw
24.9%

Portsmouth
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.2%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

23.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sheffield United's performance.

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sheffield United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portsmouth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	11.5%	0%

Sheffield United - Portsmouth Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (2.09) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.75 - Sheff Utd (1.87) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Portsmouth (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sheffield United will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sheffield United will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Sheff Utd (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Portsmouth (votes: 2 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 38. Seriki F. 2. Tanganga J. (C) 15. Mee B. 3. McCallum S. 42. Peck S. 44. Riedewald J. 11. Brooks A. 10. O'Hare C. 7. Cannon T. 45. Bamford P.	1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 4. Knight J. 5. Poole R. 22. Swanson Z. 21. Dozzell A. 18. Kosznovszky M. 23. Murphy J. 10. Segecic A. 11. Bianchini F. 9. Bishop C. (C)
Substitutes
14. Burrows H. 23. Campbell T. 17. Davies A. (G) 8. Hamer G. 9. Ings D. 28. Matos A. 25. McGuinness M. 26. One R. 18. Soumare D.	26. Bursik J. (G) 36. Chaplin C. 25. Kirk M. 49. Lang C. 14. Matthews H. 7. Pack M. 8. Swift J. 2. Williams J. 47. Yang Min-Hyuk
Coaches
Wilder C.	Mousinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', Devlin T. 🟥,
41', 1 - 0, Peck S. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Segecic A. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Bamford P. ⚽,
61', Bishop C. ↓, Kirk M. ↑,
63', Bamford P. ↓, Hamer G. ↑,
63', McCallum S. ↓, Burrows H. ↑,
69', Murphy J. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
71', Kosznovszky M. 🟨,
73', 3 - 0, Hamer G. ⚽,
74', Kosznovszky M. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
74', Bianchini F. ↓, Yang Min-Hyuk ↑,
75', Cannon T. ↓, Ings D. ↑,
82', Riedewald J. ↓, Soumare D. ↑,
83', Seriki F. ↓, McGuinness M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 19).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Sheff Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sheff Utd is the team to beat.

There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H. (Hamstring Injury) Farrell J. (Groin Injury) Ogilvie C. (Knee Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Sheff Utd: Arblaster O. (Knee Injury) Campbell T. (Injury) Chong T. (Knee Injury) Ogbene C. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sheff Utd won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield United
English League Championship
23.11.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Sheffield United	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Sheffield United - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
04.11.25	Coventry City - Sheffield United	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Sheffield United - Derby County	1:3 ✺
24.10.25	Preston North End - Sheffield United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WTLLL
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
22.11.25	Portsmouth - Millwall	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Hull City - Portsmouth	3:2 ✺
05.11.25	Portsmouth - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Birmingham City - Portsmouth	4:0 ✺
25.10.25	Portsmouth - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
08.02.25	Sheffield United - Portsmouth	2:1
28.09.24	Portsmouth - Sheffield United	0:0
English League One
20.04.13	Portsmouth - Sheffield United	3:0
29.10.12	Sheffield United - Portsmouth	1:0

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